Do I ship it?

GamesShooterShooter + Agriculture

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Agriculture Shooter?

Shooter + Agriculture

Only 12 developers shipped an Agriculture Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Zombie Graveyard Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 21 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 500% on the market, 21 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Agriculture
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $449 → $119 → $180
Outcomes for Shooter + Agriculture: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $4.1k (exactly $4,133)
Top 5% $362k (exactly $362,008)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 35
Announced 21
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 500% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter, Agriculture
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 911 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $240, 1 in 4 over $4.1k, 1 in 20 over $360k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  5. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  6. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  8. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  10. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  11. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Zompiercer · EA older $19.99 4,562 88% 137k $2.7M (exactly $2,735,831) DDDimanN
Zombie Graveyard Simulator $14.99 805 89% 24k $362k (exactly $362,008) threeW
Dong-Jin Rice-hime(東津萌米) older $19.99 352 90% 11k $211k (exactly $211,094) STORIA, Narrator, SimonCreative
Llamasoft: The Jeff Minter Story older $29.99 83 87% 2.5k $75k (exactly $74,675) Digital Eclipse
Crazy Islands $13.99 73 68% 2.2k $31k (exactly $30,638) Ge-Aivan
Noxious Weeds · EA older $4.99 53 77% 1.6k $7.9k (exactly $7,934) Solar Eclipse Games
Chickenauts · EA $5.99 23 60% 690 $4.1k (exactly $4,133) SneakyBox, Kautki Cave
WFD older $7.99 8 75% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) HelloVR
Freedom Farming - The American Way older $6.99 5 80% 150 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) The Zoo
A Package For Space · EA $24.99 1 100% 30 $750 (exactly $750) Reading Time Studio
Corny Johnny · EA $10.00 2 100% 60 $600 (exactly $600) DozBroz Studio
Mycocosm $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Evolver Dynamics
Farm Chicken $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) ChickenMan
Chick Game $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) 1CHAAAIN, BLOCKCHAAAIN
Cropacalypse $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) BecauseImMichael Games
The S.H.O.W. $1.99 2 100% 60 $119 (exactly $119) SGS

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.