Do I ship it?

Games › Agriculture › Agriculture + Score Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Score Attack Agriculture game?

Agriculture + Score Attack

Only 11 developers shipped a Score Attack Agriculture game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Wrangle Ranch, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 18 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 18 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Agriculture + Score Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $2.7k → $897 → $298 → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Agriculture + Score Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $2.8k (exactly $2,844)
Top 5% $3.8k (exactly $3,774)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 33
Announced 18
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Agriculture, Score Attack
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 82 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $240, 1 in 4 over $2.8k, 1 in 20 over $3.7k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Agriculture with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Time ManagementFair57 devs · median $2.3k · 73 announced
  2. + IdlerFair72 devs · median $1.5k · 67 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair51 devs · median $683 · 60 announced
  4. + CatsFair18 devs · median $449 · 17 announced
  5. + God GameLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  6. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds14 devs · median $58k · 13 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds19 devs · median $28k · 39 announced
  8. + Dating SimPoor odds15 devs · median $24k · 38 announced
  9. + RPGPoor odds72 devs · median $19k · 180 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds58 devs · median $19k · 133 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds17 devs · median $19k · 39 announced
  12. + FishingPoor odds48 devs · median $18k · 80 announced

All 83 pairs on the Agriculture page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Touch Some Grass 2022 · $49k Sun Down Survivors 2023 · $28k Noxious Weeds 2024 · EA · $7.9k Garden Guardian 2022 · $7.2k Wrangle Ranch 2026 · $3.8k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Touch Some Grass older $1.99 820 94% 25k $49k (exactly $48,954) jpm_games
Sun Down Survivors older $4.99 185 50% 5.6k $28k (exactly $27,694) Pixel Sprout Studios
Noxious Weeds · EA older $4.99 53 77% 1.6k $7.9k (exactly $7,934) Solar Eclipse Games
Garden Guardian older $4.99 48 100% 1.4k $7.2k (exactly $7,186) Liam Allen-Miller
Wrangle Ranch $5.99 21 95% 630 $3.8k (exactly $3,774) BenBonk, XraiDev
Watermelon Challenge older $2.99 33 93% 990 $3.0k (exactly $2,960) Floofy Feather Studios
Combine 2 Pumpkins $4.99 19 100% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) 2Z
Breakout Season $4.99 19 84% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) Kakaos Collective
GILTSTEADER - Tower Defense older $5.99 15 66% 450 $2.7k (exactly $2,696) Lessermore
Herder older $4.99 13 92% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Porchman Games
NecroFarm $2.99 10 60% 300 $897 (exactly $897) Podigi Games
Sheep Clicker Royale $1.99 5 0% 150 $298 (exactly $298) ZooHair
Mycocosm $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Evolver Dynamics
Cornmaster's Fury · EA $3.49 2 100% 60 $209 (exactly $209) Astrawal Studios
Workhorse $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) ZXC Wonder
Moon Garden Optimizer $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Tristan Miller
Sheep Dog $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) JAM JAM Laboratory

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.