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Should I ship an Online Co-Op Agriculture game?
Online Co-Op + Agriculture
Only 14 developers shipped an Online Co-Op Agriculture game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dinkum, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×7.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $8.6k, ×5.8 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $14M, ×9865 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 36 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.7k (exactly $2,652) |
|---|---|
| Median | $8.6k (exactly $8,626) |
| Top 25% | $28k (exactly $27,881) |
| Top 5% | $15M (exactly $14,777,208) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 37 |
| Announced | 36 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Online Co-Op
- effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
- Agriculture
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Online Co-Op, Agriculture; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Building, Co-op, Exploration
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 29,384 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.7k. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Bullet HeavenStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + TypingFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
- + TransportationPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + World War IIPoor odds
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Farming Simulator 22 | older | $19.99 | 69,477 93% | 2.1M | $42M (exactly $41,665,357) | GIANTS Software |
| | Farming Simulator 19 | older | $17.99 | 64,621 94% | 1.9M | $35M (exactly $34,875,954) | GIANTS Software |
| | Dinkum | $19.99 | 24,641 92% | 739k | $15M (exactly $14,777,208) | James Bendon | |
| | Farm Together | older | $19.99 | 17,647 93% | 529k | $11M (exactly $10,582,906) | Milkstone Studios |
| | Farming Simulator 17 | older | $14.99 | 23,063 93% | 692k | $10M (exactly $10,371,431) | GIANTS Software |
| | Farming Simulator 15 | older | $12.99 | 13,306 92% | 399k | $5.2M (exactly $5,185,348) | GIANTS Software |
| | Lightyear Frontier | · EA older | $24.99 | 4,257 83% | 128k | $3.2M (exactly $3,191,473) | FRAME BREAK |
| | Roots of Pacha | older | $24.99 | 3,779 93% | 113k | $2.8M (exactly $2,833,116) | Soda Den |
| | Staxel | older | $19.99 | 3,109 79% | 93k | $1.9M (exactly $1,864,467) | Plukit |
| | Farming Simulator 2013: Titanium Edition | older | $14.99 | 3,926 91% | 118k | $1.8M (exactly $1,765,522) | GIANTS Software |
| | Old Market Simulator | $9.99 | 4,333 87% | 130k | $1.3M (exactly $1,298,600) | Alcedo Games | |
| | Crazy Islands | $13.99 | 73 68% | 2.2k | $31k (exactly $30,638) | Ge-Aivan | |
| | Galactic Getaway: Build a Home for Pets | · EA | $14.99 | 62 61% | 1.9k | $28k (exactly $27,881) | Akrew |
| | Cryptid Farm | $4.99 | 153 96% | 4.6k | $23k (exactly $22,904) | GameByFlamey | |
| | RippleIsland Kyle and Cal’s Restaurant | $27.99 | 22 68% | 660 | $18k (exactly $18,473) | SUNSOFT | |
| | Meowingtons Simulator | $5.99 | 48 95% | 1.4k | $8.6k (exactly $8,626) | Oberha5li Studios | |
| | Caravan Village: Farming Life | · EA | $12.99 | 16 62% | 480 | $6.2k (exactly $6,235) | Corvantia Interactive |
| | Crazy Caveman | · EA | $4.99 | 19 52% | 570 | $2.8k (exactly $2,844) | Caveman Game |
| | My First Craft Survival | $5.20 | 17 70% | 510 | $2.7k (exactly $2,652) | kuriemeiku |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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