Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + Agriculture

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Online Co-Op Agriculture game?

Online Co-Op + Agriculture

Only 14 developers shipped an Online Co-Op Agriculture game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dinkum, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×7.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $8.6k, ×5.8 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $14M, ×9865 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 36 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 36 announced, ×7.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + Agriculture
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $192k → $23k → $28k → $718
Outcomes for Online Co-Op + Agriculture: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $2.7k (exactly $2,652)
Median $8.6k (exactly $8,626)
Top 25% $28k (exactly $27,881)
Top 5% $15M (exactly $14,777,208)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 37
Announced 36
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op, Agriculture; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Building, Co-op, Exploration
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 29,384 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.7k, median $8.6k, 1 in 4 over $27k, 1 in 20 over $14M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.7k. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Bullet HeavenStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  3. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  10. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Farming Simulator 22 older $19.99 69,477 93% 2.1M $42M (exactly $41,665,357) GIANTS Software
Farming Simulator 19 older $17.99 64,621 94% 1.9M $35M (exactly $34,875,954) GIANTS Software
Dinkum $19.99 24,641 92% 739k $15M (exactly $14,777,208) James Bendon
Farm Together older $19.99 17,647 93% 529k $11M (exactly $10,582,906) Milkstone Studios
Farming Simulator 17 older $14.99 23,063 93% 692k $10M (exactly $10,371,431) GIANTS Software
Farming Simulator 15 older $12.99 13,306 92% 399k $5.2M (exactly $5,185,348) GIANTS Software
Lightyear Frontier · EA older $24.99 4,257 83% 128k $3.2M (exactly $3,191,473) FRAME BREAK
Roots of Pacha older $24.99 3,779 93% 113k $2.8M (exactly $2,833,116) Soda Den
Staxel older $19.99 3,109 79% 93k $1.9M (exactly $1,864,467) Plukit
Farming Simulator 2013: Titanium Edition older $14.99 3,926 91% 118k $1.8M (exactly $1,765,522) GIANTS Software
Old Market Simulator $9.99 4,333 87% 130k $1.3M (exactly $1,298,600) Alcedo Games
Crazy Islands $13.99 73 68% 2.2k $31k (exactly $30,638) Ge-Aivan
Galactic Getaway: Build a Home for Pets · EA $14.99 62 61% 1.9k $28k (exactly $27,881) Akrew
Cryptid Farm $4.99 153 96% 4.6k $23k (exactly $22,904) GameByFlamey
RippleIsland Kyle and Cal’s Restaurant $27.99 22 68% 660 $18k (exactly $18,473) SUNSOFT
Meowingtons Simulator $5.99 48 95% 1.4k $8.6k (exactly $8,626) Oberha5li Studios
Caravan Village: Farming Life · EA $12.99 16 62% 480 $6.2k (exactly $6,235) Corvantia Interactive
Crazy Caveman · EA $4.99 19 52% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) Caveman Game
My First Craft Survival $5.20 17 70% 510 $2.7k (exactly $2,652) kuriemeiku

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.