Do I ship it?

GamesAgricultureAgriculture + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Multiple Endings Agriculture game?

Agriculture + Multiple Endings

Only 12 developers shipped a Multiple Endings Agriculture game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 欺神弄鬼, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×5.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×383 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 28 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 28 announced, ×5.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Agriculture + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $35k → $449 → $39k → $7.0k
Outcomes for Agriculture + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $750 (exactly $750)
Top 25% $37k (exactly $36,863)
Top 5% $240k (exactly $240,359)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 31
Announced 28
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Agriculture, Multiple Endings
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 1,079 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $750, 1 in 4 over $36k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Agriculture with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Time ManagementFair57 devs · median $2.3k · 73 announced
  2. + IdlerFair72 devs · median $1.5k · 67 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair51 devs · median $683 · 60 announced
  4. + CatsFair18 devs · median $449 · 17 announced
  5. + God GameLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  6. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds14 devs · median $58k · 13 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds19 devs · median $28k · 39 announced
  8. + Dating SimPoor odds15 devs · median $24k · 38 announced
  9. + RPGPoor odds72 devs · median $19k · 180 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds58 devs · median $19k · 133 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds17 devs · median $19k · 39 announced
  12. + FishingPoor odds48 devs · median $18k · 80 announced

All 83 pairs on the Agriculture page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Slow living with Princess older $19.99 580 87% 17k $348k (exactly $347,826) KADOKAWA, TSUKURITE.
欺神弄鬼 · EA $9.99 802 91% 24k $240k (exactly $240,359) 猫台班子工作室 Cat Caboodle
The Good Life older $29.99 198 74% 5.9k $178k (exactly $178,141) White Owls Inc.
Dream Life in the Country Side $14.99 87 83% 2.6k $39k (exactly $39,124) Moonlit Cafe
Herbals tycoon · EA $9.99 123 76% 3.7k $37k (exactly $36,863) Orange Paper Studio
Tidal Tribe older $14.99 81 88% 2.4k $36k (exactly $36,426) PowPit
My Slow Life with the Princess Knight and Her Devoted Handmaiden older $14.99 77 92% 2.3k $35k (exactly $34,627) Waffle
Roboplant older $11.99 75 61% 2.3k $27k (exactly $26,978) Rebelpug
Minabo - A walk through life older $14.99 58 75% 1.7k $26k (exactly $26,083) DevilishGames
Love on Leave older $24.99 26 69% 780 $19k (exactly $19,492) qureate, Orgesta Inc.
Baskin All-In: The Family · EA $8.99 26 65% 780 $7.0k (exactly $7,012) TheSugarRay
Dynasty Game 2 $7.99 29 65% 870 $7.0k (exactly $6,951) Yocone
Harvest Yuuka $24.99 1 100% 30 $750 (exactly $750) ちゆうどう (Chiyuudou)
Foragery $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Dev Kid Games
Get Out Of The Woods · EA $8.99 2 100% 60 $539 (exactly $539) NarwhalStudio
Fuggedaboutit Farm $2.99 5 100% 150 $449 (exactly $449) Rmplstltskn
Idle Farm tycoon · EA $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) JNA game

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.