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Should I ship a Multiple Endings Agriculture game?
Agriculture + Multiple Endings
Only 12 developers shipped a Multiple Endings Agriculture game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 欺神弄鬼, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×5.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $750, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×383 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 28 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $449 (exactly $449) |
|---|---|
| Median | $750 (exactly $750) |
| Top 25% | $37k (exactly $36,863) |
| Top 5% | $240k (exactly $240,359) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 31 |
| Announced | 28 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Agriculture
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Agriculture, Multiple Endings
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 1,079 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Agriculture with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Time ManagementFair
- + IdlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + CatsFair
- + God GameLong shot
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + FishingPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Slow living with Princess | older | $19.99 | 580 87% | 17k | $348k (exactly $347,826) | KADOKAWA, TSUKURITE. |
| | 欺神弄鬼 | · EA | $9.99 | 802 91% | 24k | $240k (exactly $240,359) | 猫台班子工作室 Cat Caboodle |
| | The Good Life | older | $29.99 | 198 74% | 5.9k | $178k (exactly $178,141) | White Owls Inc. |
| | Dream Life in the Country Side | $14.99 | 87 83% | 2.6k | $39k (exactly $39,124) | Moonlit Cafe | |
| | Herbals tycoon | · EA | $9.99 | 123 76% | 3.7k | $37k (exactly $36,863) | Orange Paper Studio |
| | Tidal Tribe | older | $14.99 | 81 88% | 2.4k | $36k (exactly $36,426) | PowPit |
| | My Slow Life with the Princess Knight and Her Devoted Handmaiden | older | $14.99 | 77 92% | 2.3k | $35k (exactly $34,627) | Waffle |
| | Roboplant | older | $11.99 | 75 61% | 2.3k | $27k (exactly $26,978) | Rebelpug |
| | Minabo - A walk through life | older | $14.99 | 58 75% | 1.7k | $26k (exactly $26,083) | DevilishGames |
| | Love on Leave | older | $24.99 | 26 69% | 780 | $19k (exactly $19,492) | qureate, Orgesta Inc. |
| | Baskin All-In: The Family | · EA | $8.99 | 26 65% | 780 | $7.0k (exactly $7,012) | TheSugarRay |
| | Dynasty Game 2 | $7.99 | 29 65% | 870 | $7.0k (exactly $6,951) | Yocone | |
| | Harvest Yuuka | $24.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $750 (exactly $750) | ちゆうどう (Chiyuudou) | |
| | Foragery | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Dev Kid Games | |
| | Get Out Of The Woods | · EA | $8.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $539 (exactly $539) | NarwhalStudio |
| | Fuggedaboutit Farm | $2.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $449 (exactly $449) | Rmplstltskn | |
| | Idle Farm tycoon | · EA | $4.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | JNA game |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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