Do I ship it?

GamesAgricultureAgriculture + Inventory Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Inventory Management Agriculture game?

Agriculture + Inventory Management

Of 33 developers who shipped an Inventory Management Agriculture game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 46 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $460k, ×734 the market median. Revenue is up 85% on the market; 46 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 85% on the market, 46 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Agriculture + Inventory Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $14k → $2.2k → $1.5k → $2.7k → $1.7k → $2.8k (still earning) → $1.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Agriculture + Inventory Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Top 25% $24k (exactly $24,100)
Top 5% $461k (exactly $461,015)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 73
Announced 46
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.90

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 85% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Inventory Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Agriculture, Inventory Management; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Resource Management, Simulation, Immersive Sim
Price point
$9.90 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $9.90.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 6,927 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $24k, 1 in 20 over $460k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 46 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Agriculture with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Time ManagementFair57 devs · median $2.3k · 73 announced
  2. + IdlerFair72 devs · median $1.5k · 67 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair51 devs · median $683 · 60 announced
  4. + CatsFair18 devs · median $449 · 17 announced
  5. + God GameLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  6. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds14 devs · median $58k · 13 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds19 devs · median $28k · 39 announced
  8. + Dating SimPoor odds15 devs · median $24k · 38 announced
  9. + RPGPoor odds72 devs · median $19k · 180 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds58 devs · median $19k · 133 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds17 devs · median $19k · 39 announced
  12. + FishingPoor odds48 devs · median $18k · 80 announced

All 83 pairs on the Agriculture page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Thriving City: Song older $18.99 3,054 81% 92k $1.7M (exactly $1,739,864) White Star Studio
Farm Manager 2018 older $19.99 2,524 70% 76k $1.5M (exactly $1,513,643) Cleversan Games
Farm Manager 2021 older $19.99 2,296 79% 69k $1.4M (exactly $1,376,911) Cleversan Games
Old Market Simulator $9.99 4,333 87% 130k $1.3M (exactly $1,298,600) Alcedo Games
Rana Card $12.99 1,183 89% 35k $461k (exactly $461,015) VisionRana
The Magical Mixture Mill older $19.99 550 82% 17k $330k (exactly $329,835) Glowlight
Farm Expert 2017 older $19.99 462 38% 14k $277k (exactly $277,061) Silden
Elf Sex Farm older $14.99 492 75% 15k $221k (exactly $221,252) R's
World End Diner $16.99 415 93% 12k $212k (exactly $211,525) Andymente
Crop Rotation older $9.99 508 94% 15k $152k (exactly $152,248) Sprouting Potato
Ranch Farm and Store Simulator $12.99 252 84% 7.6k $98k (exactly $98,204) Bewolba Studios
Peaceful Days $11.99 250 85% 7.5k $90k (exactly $89,925) Nhat Nguyen
Eggstreme Farming $6.99 169 73% 5.1k $35k (exactly $35,439) Sagitta Studios
The Headlands · EA $10.99 107 97% 3.2k $35k (exactly $35,278) TessaraOxygen
The Brewline $9.99 110 84% 3.3k $33k (exactly $32,967) Alcora Games
Touhou Farming ~ Minoriko's Homestead Harvest · EA $11.99 67 95% 2.0k $24k (exactly $24,100) Studio Hexeye
CRUFT $9.99 41 92% 1.2k $12k (exactly $12,288) Go On Entertainment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.