Games › Agriculture › Agriculture + Historical
Should I ship a Historical Agriculture game?
Agriculture + Historical
Only 10 developers shipped a Historical Agriculture game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Farthest Frontier, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.3k, ×5.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $25M, ×40858 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 29 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $450 (exactly $450) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) |
| Top 25% | $102k (exactly $101,974) |
| Top 5% | $26M (exactly $25,658,867) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 43 |
| Announced | 29 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 300% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Agriculture
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Historical
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Agriculture
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 8 games average 86% positive over 25,669 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Agriculture with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Time ManagementFair
- + IdlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + CatsFair
- + God GameLong shot
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + FishingPoor odds
Comparable games
Medieval Dynasty 2021 · $45M 
Farthest Frontier 2025 · $26M 
Ostriv 2020 · EA · $5.1M 
Thriving City: Song 2024 · $1.7M 
Grand Ages: Medieval 2015 · $939k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Medieval Dynasty | older | $34.99 | 43,074 90% | 1.3M | $45M (exactly $45,214,778) | Render Cube |
| | Farthest Frontier | $34.99 | 24,444 86% | 733k | $26M (exactly $25,658,867) | Crate Entertainment | |
| | Ostriv | · EA older | $24.99 | 6,866 94% | 206k | $5.1M (exactly $5,147,440) | yevhen8 |
| | Thriving City: Song | older | $18.99 | 3,054 81% | 92k | $1.7M (exactly $1,739,864) | White Star Studio |
| | Grand Ages: Medieval | older | $19.99 | 1,565 47% | 47k | $939k (exactly $938,530) | Gaming Minds Studios |
 | Halcyon Days at Taoyuan | $11.99 | 1,089 89% | 33k | $392k (exactly $391,713) | BotanX | |
 | Primitive Society Simulator | · EA older | $19.99 | 647 83% | 19k | $388k (exactly $388,006) | YSH BigDove |
 | Sumerians | older | $16.99 | 309 86% | 9.3k | $157k (exactly $157,497) | Decumanus Games |
 | Tiny Civilization | older | $1.99 | 2,134 92% | 64k | $127k (exactly $127,400) | 喜人一个 |
 | Utawarerumono: ZAN | $39.99 | 85 77% | 2.6k | $102k (exactly $101,974) | AQUAPLUS | |
 | Dynasty Game 2 | $7.99 | 29 65% | 870 | $7.0k (exactly $6,951) | Yocone | |
 | Medieval Life Simulator | · EA | $9.99 | 11 36% | 330 | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) | Single Soul Studios |
 | South America Gold Rush | · EA | $9.99 | 9 44% | 270 | $2.7k (exactly $2,697) | Argo Games |
 | 1930: Farm Manager | $14.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $450 (exactly $450) | OMG Studio | |
 | Mercator | $5.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $180 (exactly $180) | rudderbucky | |
 | The Baron's Burden: One Fortnight | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | RG GameDev, LLC | |
 | Peasant Samurai ～ 百姓ノ持チタル国 | $7.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | petitmonte |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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