Games › Agriculture › Agriculture + Fantasy
Should I ship a Fantasy Agriculture game?
Agriculture + Fantasy
Of 46 developers who shipped a Fantasy Agriculture game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 103 more are announced, ×5.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $740k, ×1192 the market median. Revenue is up 310% on the market; 103 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $240 (exactly $240) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.7k (exactly $1,737) |
| Top 25% | $30k (exactly $30,206) |
| Top 5% | $749k (exactly $748,760) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 46 |
| Released games | 126 |
| Announced | 103 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 310% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Agriculture
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Fantasy
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Agriculture; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Farming Sim, Simulation, RPG
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $21.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Cute, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $21.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 81% positive over 7,217 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 30 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 103 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Agriculture with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Time ManagementFair
- + IdlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + CatsFair
- + God GameLong shot
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + FishingPoor odds
Comparable games
Graveyard Keeper 2018 · $24M 
Sun Haven 2023 · $17M 
Fabledom 2024 · $4.3M 
HARVESTELLA 2022 · $3.7M 
Moonstone Island 2023 · $2.4M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Graveyard Keeper | older | $19.99 | 39,547 86% | 1.2M | $24M (exactly $23,716,336) | Lazy Bear Games |
| | Sun Haven | older | $24.99 | 22,069 79% | 662k | $17M (exactly $16,545,129) | Pixel Sprout Studios |
| | Fabledom | older | $20.99 | 6,772 85% | 203k | $4.3M (exactly $4,264,328) | Grenaa Games |
| | HARVESTELLA | older | $59.99 | 2,071 77% | 62k | $3.7M (exactly $3,727,179) | Square Enix |
| | Moonstone Island | older | $19.99 | 4,063 84% | 122k | $2.4M (exactly $2,436,581) | Studio Supersoft |
 | Yonder: The Cloud Catcher Chronicles | older | $24.99 | 2,908 81% | 87k | $2.2M (exactly $2,180,128) | Prideful Sloth |
 | Tales of Seikyu | $24.99 | 2,179 83% | 65k | $1.6M (exactly $1,633,596) | ACE Entertainment | |
 | Grow: Song of the Evertree | older | $24.99 | 1,782 83% | 53k | $1.3M (exactly $1,335,965) | Prideful Sloth |
 | Re:Legend | older | $24.99 | 1,514 56% | 45k | $1.1M (exactly $1,135,046) | Magnus Games Studio |
 | Rune Factory 3 Special | older | $39.99 | 734 94% | 22k | $881k (exactly $880,580) | Marvelous Inc. |
 | Farlands | $17.99 | 1,628 89% | 49k | $879k (exactly $878,632) | JanduSoft, Eric Rodríguez | |
 | Card Survival: Fantasy Forest | · EA | $21.99 | 1,135 76% | 34k | $749k (exactly $748,760) | WinterSpring Games |
 | Never Grave: The Witch and The Curse | $16.99 | 543 72% | 16k | $277k (exactly $276,767) | Frontside 180 | |
 | Mamon King | $12.99 | 603 90% | 18k | $235k (exactly $234,989) | LiTMUS Co., Ltd. | |
 | Orange Season | $14.99 | 364 59% | 11k | $164k (exactly $163,691) | Innerfire Studios | |
 | Sugardew Island - Your cozy farm shop | $16.99 | 291 76% | 8.7k | $148k (exactly $148,323) | rokaplay | |
 | Seeds of Calamity | $14.99 | 271 78% | 8.1k | $122k (exactly $121,869) | Laborious Lark Studios | |
 | Utawarerumono: ZAN | $39.99 | 85 77% | 2.6k | $102k (exactly $101,974) | AQUAPLUS | |
 | Goblin Camp | $19.99 | 118 76% | 3.5k | $71k (exactly $70,765) | Korppi Games Ltd |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.