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Should I ship a Collectathon Agriculture game?
Agriculture + Collectathon
Of 32 developers who shipped a Collectathon Agriculture game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×4.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $710k, ×1146 the market median. Revenue is up 55% on the market; 43 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $599 (exactly $599) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.7k (exactly $2,652) |
| Top 25% | $21k (exactly $20,992) |
| Top 5% | $720k (exactly $719,960) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 32 |
| Released games | 70 |
| Announced | 43 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Agriculture
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Collectathon
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Agriculture, Collectathon; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Crafting, Farming Sim, Sandbox
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 4,663 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Agriculture with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Time ManagementFair
- + IdlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + CatsFair
- + God GameLong shot
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + FishingPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Littlewood | older | $14.99 | 6,083 93% | 182k | $2.7M (exactly $2,735,525) | Sean Young |
| | Farlands | $17.99 | 1,628 89% | 49k | $879k (exactly $878,632) | JanduSoft, Eric Rodríguez | |
| | Welcome to Elderfield | $17.99 | 1,334 87% | 40k | $720k (exactly $719,960) | Chris Cote | |
| | Plantera | older | $2.99 | 4,518 88% | 136k | $405k (exactly $405,265) | VaragtP |
| | Monster Harvest | older | $16.99 | 458 53% | 14k | $233k (exactly $233,443) | Maple Powered Games |
| | World End Diner | $16.99 | 415 93% | 12k | $212k (exactly $211,525) | Andymente | |
| | Research Story | $14.99 | 309 94% | 9.3k | $139k (exactly $138,957) | Petal Cat Games | |
| | Kamaeru: A Frog Refuge | older | $19.99 | 230 86% | 6.9k | $138k (exactly $137,931) | Humble Reeds |
| | Seeds of Calamity | $14.99 | 271 78% | 8.1k | $122k (exactly $121,869) | Laborious Lark Studios | |
| | Deiland: Pocket Planet | older | $14.99 | 132 68% | 4.0k | $59k (exactly $59,360) | Chibig |
| | Desk Garden | $2.99 | 476 84% | 14k | $43k (exactly $42,697) | Siesta Studio | |
| | Garden Trills | $14.99 | 87 96% | 2.6k | $39k (exactly $39,124) | Yukim | |
| | Skystead Ranch | $24.99 | 28 71% | 840 | $21k (exactly $20,992) | ToastieLabs | |
| | Woolly | $6.49 | 74 90% | 2.2k | $14k (exactly $14,408) | Anneka Tran | |
| | CRUFT | $9.99 | 41 92% | 1.2k | $12k (exactly $12,288) | Go On Entertainment |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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