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Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Agriculture game?
Agriculture + Choose Your Own Adventure
Only 14 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Agriculture game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mamon King, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×374 the market median. Revenue is up 11700% on the market; 42 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $179 (exactly $179) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) |
| Top 25% | $35k (exactly $35,439) |
| Top 5% | $235k (exactly $234,989) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 41 |
| Announced | 42 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 11700% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Agriculture
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Agriculture, Choose Your Own Adventure; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Farming Sim, Life Sim
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute, Family Friendly
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 1,166 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Agriculture with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Time ManagementFair
- + IdlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + CatsFair
- + God GameLong shot
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + FishingPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Song Of The Prairie | older | $19.99 | 1,295 77% | 39k | $777k (exactly $776,611) | The Droplet Studio |
| | Spirit of the Island | older | $14.99 | 1,191 69% | 36k | $536k (exactly $535,593) | 1M Bits Horde |
| | Slow living with Princess | older | $19.99 | 580 87% | 17k | $348k (exactly $347,826) | KADOKAWA, TSUKURITE. |
| | Mamon King | $12.99 | 603 90% | 18k | $235k (exactly $234,989) | LiTMUS Co., Ltd. | |
| | Korea Dynasty (조선메타실록) | · EA older | $23.99 | 267 72% | 8.0k | $192k (exactly $192,160) | Happy Daram Inc. |
| | Harvest Moon: One World | older | $49.99 | 117 59% | 3.5k | $175k (exactly $175,465) | Natsume Inc., Appci |
| | Colonize | $9.99 | 192 39% | 5.8k | $58k (exactly $57,542) | Rembrosoft | |
| | Pawsome Resort | · EA | $11.99 | 147 83% | 4.4k | $53k (exactly $52,876) | Pixel Puffs |
| | Farmtale | · EA older | $4.99 | 245 64% | 7.4k | $37k (exactly $36,676) | Titanforged Entertainment |
| | Eggstreme Farming | $6.99 | 169 73% | 5.1k | $35k (exactly $35,439) | Sagitta Studios | |
| | Baskin All-In: The Family | · EA | $8.99 | 26 65% | 780 | $7.0k (exactly $7,012) | TheSugarRay |
| | Pickle Simulator | $1.99 | 20 90% | 600 | $1.2k (exactly $1,194) | Belfrost Studios | |
| | SurvivalWorld | · EA | $11.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $1.1k (exactly $1,079) | Robert De Leon |
| | Foragery | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Dev Kid Games | |
| | Get Out Of The Woods | · EA | $8.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $539 (exactly $539) | NarwhalStudio |
| | Enclaved | $2.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $179 (exactly $179) | Digital Platforms Co. |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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