Games › Agriculture › Agriculture + Choices Matter
Should I ship a Choices Matter Agriculture game?
Agriculture + Choices Matter
Only 17 developers shipped a Choices Matter Agriculture game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cattle Country, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×4.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $190k, ×304 the market median. Revenue is up 350% on the market; 44 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $539 (exactly $539) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.0k (exactly $2,999) |
| Top 25% | $9.6k (exactly $9,590) |
| Top 5% | $191k (exactly $190,849) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 51 |
| Announced | 44 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 350% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Agriculture
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Agriculture, Choices Matter; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Building, Economy, Resource Management
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 644 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $540. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Agriculture with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Time ManagementFair
- + IdlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + CatsFair
- + God GameLong shot
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + FishingPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | One Hour One Life | older | $14.99 | 3,988 79% | 120k | $1.8M (exactly $1,793,404) | Jason Rohrer |
| | Thriving City: Song | older | $18.99 | 3,054 81% | 92k | $1.7M (exactly $1,739,864) | White Star Studio |
| | Hundred Days - Winemaking Simulator | older | $24.99 | 1,033 77% | 31k | $774k (exactly $774,440) | Broken Arms Games |
| | Cattle Country | $18.99 | 335 86% | 10k | $191k (exactly $190,849) | Castle Pixel, LLC. | |
| | Farm Keeper | older | $4.99 | 390 91% | 12k | $58k (exactly $58,383) | Cuddle Code |
| | Dream Life in the Country Side | $14.99 | 87 83% | 2.6k | $39k (exactly $39,124) | Moonlit Cafe | |
| | Tidal Tribe | older | $14.99 | 81 88% | 2.4k | $36k (exactly $36,426) | PowPit |
| | Under The Yoke | older | $9.99 | 64 79% | 1.9k | $19k (exactly $19,181) | Priory Games |
| | Grand Cru: The Wine Maker | $14.99 | 37 86% | 1.1k | $17k (exactly $16,639) | hAi Corp | |
| | The people of Sea, Sun & Salt | $9.99 | 44 100% | 1.3k | $13k (exactly $13,187) | Emerick Gibson | |
| | The Diner at the End of the Galaxy | · EA | $9.99 | 32 59% | 960 | $9.6k (exactly $9,590) | General Interactive Co. |
| | Baskin All-In: The Family | · EA | $8.99 | 26 65% | 780 | $7.0k (exactly $7,012) | TheSugarRay |
| | Wrangle Ranch | $5.99 | 21 95% | 630 | $3.8k (exactly $3,774) | BenBonk, XraiDev | |
| | 双雄风流传(Romantic Emperor) | $2.18 | 53 86% | 1.6k | $3.5k (exactly $3,466) | Turtle game | |
| | Apoikia | · EA | $24.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $3.0k (exactly $2,999) | Charlie |
| | Fortune & Famine | $9.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) | Simeous Business, Mid Level Meeple |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.