Do I ship it?

GamesStrategy RPGStrategy RPG + Action Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action Roguelike Strategy RPG?

Strategy RPG + Action Roguelike

Of 64 developers who shipped an Action Roguelike Strategy RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 99 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×1.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $120k, ×203 the market median. Revenue is up 350% on the market; 99 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 350% on the market, 99 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Strategy RPG + Action Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 64
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.4k → $449 → $356 → $4.0k → $479 → $1.0k → $2.1k (still earning) → $2.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Strategy RPG + Action Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 64
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,015)
Top 25% $9.9k (exactly $9,884)
Top 5% $128k (exactly $127,715)
Developers, 2 yr 64
Released games 128
Announced 99
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 350% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Strategy RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Strategy RPG, Action Roguelike; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, RPG, Strategy
Price point
$5.00 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.00.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 17,251 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $9.8k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 37 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 99 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Strategy RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  2. + SwordplayFair22 devs · median $2.7k · 28 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair40 devs · median $2.0k · 31 announced
  4. + EconomyFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced
  5. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + ConspiracyFair19 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Shop KeeperFair21 devs · median $987 · 25 announced
  8. + 2D PlatformerFair108 devs · median $479 · 113 announced
  9. + Point & ClickFair43 devs · median $450 · 47 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds58 devs · median $63k · 76 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds30 devs · median $35k · 41 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds15 devs · median $31k · 33 announced

All 158 pairs on the Strategy RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Magicraft $15.99 15,051 92% 452k $7.2M (exactly $7,219,965) Wave Games
HighFleet older $29.99 7,024 88% 211k $6.3M (exactly $6,319,493) Konstantin Koshutin
Aces & Adventures older $19.99 2,220 89% 67k $1.3M (exactly $1,331,334) Triple.B.Titles
Rogue Lords older $24.99 1,442 71% 43k $1.1M (exactly $1,081,067) Leikir Studio, Cyanide Studio
EdgeOfTheAbyssAwaken older $18.99 542 67% 16k $309k (exactly $308,777) TrinityBJ
Guidus Zero $14.99 609 75% 18k $274k (exactly $273,867) izzle
Roundguard older $19.99 449 80% 13k $269k (exactly $269,265) Wonderbelly Games
SanctuaryRPG: Black Edition older $7.99 1,023 92% 31k $245k (exactly $245,213) Black Shell Media
Dark Future: Blood Red States (Classic) older $24.99 250 70% 7.5k $187k (exactly $187,425) Auroch Digital
DreamEcho $11.99 369 79% 11k $133k (exactly $132,729) HotWaterStudio
生嚿叉燒好過生你 $14.99 284 88% 8.5k $128k (exactly $127,715) 無厘頭遊戲工作室
Golden Swirl $19.99 149 92% 4.5k $89k (exactly $89,355) Snako Production
Tarnished Blood 🩸 [Tactic RPG] · EA $19.99 87 88% 2.6k $52k (exactly $52,174) Juggler Games, Nakayama Games
Siegeturtle $4.99 254 86% 7.6k $38k (exactly $38,024) YYZ Studio
Evolve or Die $4.99 252 98% 7.6k $38k (exactly $37,724) Seal
Chrysalis $9.99 118 84% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,365) Metamorph Games
Ricochet Abyss · EA $12.99 78 75% 2.3k $30k (exactly $30,397) DreamForge

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.