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Should I ship a 4 Player Local Turn-Based Strategy?
Turn-Based Strategy + 4 Player Local
Of 25 developers who shipped a 4 Player Local Turn-Based Strategy in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 18 developers shipped in the last year and 34 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $59 (exactly $59) |
|---|---|
| Median | $299 (exactly $299) |
| Top 25% | $4.7k (exactly $4,668) |
| Top 5% | $29k (exactly $29,385) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 25 |
| Released games | 81 |
| Announced | 34 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 155% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Turn-Based Strategy
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- 4 Player Local
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Turn-Based Strategy, 4 Player Local; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Board Game, Tabletop
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 364 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $59. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Turn-Based Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WuxiaFair
- + Cold WarFair
- + RomeFair
- + LootFair
- + MiningFair
- + DwarvesFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + TanksFair
- + SokobanFair
- + Top-Down ShooterFair
- + SpaceFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Worms Revolution | older | $14.99 | 5,664 86% | 170k | $2.5M (exactly $2,547,101) | Team17 Digital Ltd |
| | Wargroove | older | $19.99 | 4,015 83% | 120k | $2.4M (exactly $2,407,796) | Chucklefish |
| | Worms Reloaded | older | $19.99 | 3,378 86% | 101k | $2.0M (exactly $2,025,787) | Team17 Digital Ltd |
| | Worms Ultimate Mayhem | older | $14.99 | 4,303 89% | 129k | $1.9M (exactly $1,935,059) | Team17 Digital Ltd |
| | Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition | older | $16.99 | 3,096 88% | 93k | $1.6M (exactly $1,578,031) | Marmalade Game Studio Ltd |
| | Worms Clan Wars | older | $24.99 | 1,678 77% | 50k | $1.3M (exactly $1,257,997) | Team17 Digital Ltd |
| | Dokapon Kingdom: Connect | older | $49.99 | 801 86% | 24k | $1.2M (exactly $1,201,260) | Idea Factory, Compile Heart, Sting |
| | No Time to Relax | older | $13.99 | 2,486 92% | 75k | $1.0M (exactly $1,043,374) | Porcelain Fortress |
| | Tennis Elbow Manager 2 | older | $29.99 | 202 91% | 6.1k | $182k (exactly $181,739) | Mana Games |
| | Evolution Board Game | older | $14.99 | 348 81% | 10k | $156k (exactly $156,496) | North Star Digital Studios |
| | Culdcept The First | $29.99 | 95 74% | 2.9k | $85k (exactly $85,472) | CITY CONNECTION | |
| | Nature Game System | $19.99 | 49 73% | 1.5k | $29k (exactly $29,385) | North Star Digital Games | |
| | Beacon Patrol | $11.99 | 70 97% | 2.1k | $25k (exactly $25,179) | Shapes and Dreams, BrutalHack | |
| | Keep the Heroes Out | $19.99 | 35 60% | 1.1k | $21k (exactly $20,990) | Brueh Games, YarnCat Games | |
| | Critter Crossfire | $14.99 | 31 90% | 930 | $14k (exactly $13,941) | Evan Polekoff | |
| | Super World War | $19.99 | 19 100% | 570 | $11k (exactly $11,394) | Zero Games Studios | |
| | Carnival Heroes - Super party minigames | $3.99 | 39 97% | 1.2k | $4.7k (exactly $4,668) | LAN - GAMES LTD | |
| | Golftacular! | $5.99 | 17 94% | 510 | $3.1k (exactly $3,055) | Both Good | |
| | Boardquest: Tales of Liria | $11.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | Ramezware SL | |
| | Hybrid Beasts | $7.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $959 (exactly $959) | Beastbits |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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