Do I ship it?

Games › Automobile Sim › Automobile Sim + 3D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Platformer Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + 3D Platformer

Of 57 developers who shipped a 3D Platformer Automobile Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $24k, ×16 the market median. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 39 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 39 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + 3D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 57
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.7k → $3.2k → $479 → $1.9k → $298 → $210 → $599 (still earning) → $89 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automobile Sim + 3D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 57
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $298 (exactly $298)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 5% $25k (exactly $24,551)
Developers, 2 yr 57
Released games 159
Announced 39
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim, 3D Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Driving, Racing
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 409 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $300, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $24k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. Nearly all of the 38 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + ZombiesFair10 devs · median $2.1k · 8 announced
  4. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot38 devs · median $898 · 35 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Clustertruck 2016 · $6.6M Real estate tycoon 2022 · EA · $138k Turbo Sliders Unlimited 2024 · $56k A-Train 9 V5.0 : Japan Train Simulator Ultimate Edition 2024 · $43k Sebil Engineering 2023 · $29k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Clustertruck older $14.99 14,706 93% 441k $6.6M (exactly $6,613,288) Landfall
Real estate tycoon · EA older $10.99 418 63% 13k $138k (exactly $137,815) Double Eggs
Turbo Sliders Unlimited older $14.99 125 88% 3.8k $56k (exactly $56,212) Antti Mannisto
A-Train 9 V5.0 : Japan Train Simulator Ultimate Edition $39.99 36 77% 1.1k $43k (exactly $43,189) ARTDINK
Sebil Engineering older $11.99 82 97% 2.5k $29k (exactly $29,495) FrogStore
Train Plus Japan Drive Western Japan Trains! Rapid Service Edition $64.99 14 78% 420 $27k (exactly $27,296) SHINISE GAMES, MFC STUDIO
Dangerous Mountain Together $4.99 164 73% 4.9k $25k (exactly $24,551) Çağatay Demir, Doğukan Şahin
DriveCrazy $10.99 73 94% 2.2k $24k (exactly $24,068) TubezGames
汽车帝国 · EA older $9.99 79 46% 2.4k $24k (exactly $23,676) Shanghai huan zhen Info Tech Ltd
Stunt Paradise older $7.99 89 96% 2.7k $21k (exactly $21,333) Brinemedia
Garbage Packer $6.99 56 82% 1.7k $12k (exactly $11,743) Trash Games Studios
Designated Driver Simulator · EA $17.99 16 62% 480 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) PostSIM
Pocket and Zooom $15.99 16 75% 480 $7.7k (exactly $7,675) TechnoBrain
AURORA FLIGHT (オーロラ・フライト) $10.99 17 41% 510 $5.6k (exactly $5,605) すたじおわかる
みんなで Physical TRAIN ～チャムランド国営鉄道～ · EA $19.99 9 88% 270 $5.4k (exactly $5,397) Cham-gaming
Man Made · EA $19.99 8 37% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,798) Rule51

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.