Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + 2D Fighter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Online Co-Op 2D Fighter?

Online Co-Op + 2D Fighter

Of 29 developers who shipped an Online Co-Op 2D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, ×0.3 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120. 57 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper, while revenue is up 225% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 225% on the market, 57 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + 2D Fighter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $78k → $898 → $480 → $358 → $330 → $1.0k (still earning) → $495 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Online Co-Op + 2D Fighter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,559)
Top 5% $881k (exactly $880,580)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 86
Announced 57
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 225% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
2D Fighter
effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op, 2D Fighter; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, PvP
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, Family Friendly, Retro
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 6,588 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $480, 1 in 4 over $1.5k, 1 in 20 over $880k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Bullet HeavenStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  3. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  10. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Injustice™ 2 older $49.99 17,445 86% 523k $26M (exactly $26,162,266) NetherRealm Studios, QLOC
Mortal Kombat X older $19.99 39,392 88% 1.2M $24M (exactly $23,623,382) NetherRealm Studios, QLOC
Stick Fight: The Game older $4.99 99,952 93% 3.0M $15M (exactly $14,962,814) Landfall West
Bopl Battle older $9.99 21,530 97% 646k $6.5M (exactly $6,452,541) Johan Grönvall
Invincible VS $49.99 3,031 76% 91k $4.5M (exactly $4,545,591) Quarter Up
MARVEL vs. CAPCOM Fighting Collection: Arcade Classics older $49.99 1,976 93% 59k $3.0M (exactly $2,963,407) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Lethal League Blaze older $19.99 4,767 97% 143k $2.9M (exactly $2,858,770) Team Reptile
SpiderHeck older $14.99 3,922 93% 118k $1.8M (exactly $1,763,723) Neverjam
Lethal League older $13.99 2,967 95% 89k $1.2M (exactly $1,245,250) Team Reptile
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: The Cowabunga Collection older $39.99 789 87% 24k $947k (exactly $946,563) Digital Eclipse
Capcom Fighting Collection 2 $39.99 734 85% 22k $881k (exactly $880,580) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
A Few Quick Matches $6.99 2,475 85% 74k $519k (exactly $519,008) Studio Bidou
Phantom Breaker: Battle Grounds Ultimate $24.99 205 84% 6.2k $154k (exactly $153,688) Rocket Panda Games Japan
Oblin Party $7.99 85 91% 2.6k $20k (exactly $20,374) Tellus Games
MAGE: Mega Awesome Gregarious Encounters $9.99 29 89% 870 $8.7k (exactly $8,691) FunRug Studio
MapGod $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Tallol Games
Danmaku Fighters · EA $12.99 4 100% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) Baby Bear Fish
Little Fighters on Stream $3.99 9 88% 270 $1.1k (exactly $1,077) TEAM Black Hat Robot
Boiiing Boiiing $6.99 5 100% 150 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) SLMB's Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.