Do I ship it?

GamesMechanicsDungeon Crawler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dungeon Crawler?

Dungeon Crawler

Of 1,697 developers who shipped a Dungeon Crawler in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 3,120 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×3.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $610k, ×1303 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 3,120 games are announced against 1,000 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.5 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 3,120 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dungeon Crawler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 1,697
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.3k → $3.2k → $2.3k → $1.9k → $2.1k → $2.9k → $1.2k (still earning) → $839 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Dungeon Crawler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 1,697
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $16,639)
Top 5% $619k (exactly $618,787)
Developers, 2 yr 1,697
Released games 4,594
Announced 3,120
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dungeon Crawler
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Dungeon Crawler
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 721,729 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $610k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 829 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 3,120 games are announced against 1,000 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with Dungeon Crawler

42 pairs with a settingwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Dungeon Crawler + Artificial Intelligence Fair $2.3k 29 devs
  2. Dungeon Crawler + Zombies Fair $1.0k 65 devs
  3. Dungeon Crawler + Thriller Fair $716 45 devs
  4. Dungeon Crawler + Dwarves Poor odds $55k 8 devs
  5. Dungeon Crawler + Martial Arts Poor odds $9.8k 11 devs
  6. Dungeon Crawler + Vampires Poor odds $7.0k 15 devs
  7. Dungeon Crawler + War Poor odds $6.5k 12 devs
  8. Dungeon Crawler + Romance Poor odds $6.3k 36 devs
  9. Dungeon Crawler + LGBTQ+ Poor odds $5.8k 36 devs
  10. Dungeon Crawler + Female Protagonist Poor odds $4.9k 186 devs
  11. Dungeon Crawler + Dystopian Poor odds $4.8k 30 devs
  12. Dungeon Crawler + Cats Poor odds $3.6k 19 devs
  13. Dungeon Crawler + Dark Fantasy Poor odds $2.9k 379 devs
  14. Dungeon Crawler + Lovecraftian Poor odds $2.5k 28 devs
  15. Dungeon Crawler + Fantasy Poor odds $2.3k 767 devs
  16. Dungeon Crawler + Medieval Poor odds $2.2k 296 devs
  17. Dungeon Crawler + Dragons Poor odds $2.2k 44 devs
  18. Dungeon Crawler + Mythology Poor odds $2.2k 50 devs
  19. Dungeon Crawler + Magic Poor odds $2.1k 324 devs
  20. Dungeon Crawler + Futuristic Poor odds $1.8k 41 devs
  21. Dungeon Crawler + Underground Poor odds $1.8k 74 devs
  22. Dungeon Crawler + Post-apocalyptic Poor odds $1.6k 64 devs
  23. Dungeon Crawler + Historical Poor odds $1.5k 28 devs
  24. Dungeon Crawler + Modern Poor odds $1.5k 13 devs
  25. Dungeon Crawler + Horror Poor odds $1.3k 250 devs
  26. Dungeon Crawler + Gothic Poor odds $1.3k 40 devs
  27. Dungeon Crawler + Aliens Poor odds $1.2k 20 devs
  28. Dungeon Crawler + Cyberpunk Poor odds $1.2k 30 devs
  29. Dungeon Crawler + Demons Poor odds $1.1k 109 devs
  30. Dungeon Crawler + Alternate History Poor odds $1.1k 23 devs
  31. Dungeon Crawler + Sci-fi Poor odds $959 135 devs
  32. Dungeon Crawler + Psychological Horror Poor odds $899 122 devs
  33. Dungeon Crawler + Supernatural Poor odds $898 52 devs
  34. Dungeon Crawler + Mystery Poor odds $480 138 devs
  35. Dungeon Crawler + Nature Poor odds $449 31 devs
  36. Dungeon Crawler + Robots Poor odds $390 23 devs
  37. Dungeon Crawler + Space Poor odds $300 33 devs
  38. Dungeon Crawler + Noir Poor odds $300 21 devs
  39. Dungeon Crawler + Steampunk Dead $2.1k 8 devs
  40. Dungeon Crawler + Detective Dead $300 23 devs
  41. Dungeon Crawler + Psychological Dead $298 31 devs
  42. Dungeon Crawler + Conspiracy Dead $120 9 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hades older $24.99 285,748 97% 8.6M $214M (exactly $214,225,276) Supergiant Games
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth older $14.99 415,060 96% 12M $187M (exactly $186,652,482) Nicalis, Inc., Edmund McMillen
Path of Exile 2 · EA $29.99 167,730 76% 5.0M $151M (exactly $150,906,681) Grinding Gear Games
Slay the Spire older $24.99 191,765 97% 5.8M $144M (exactly $143,766,220) Mega Crit
Slay the Spire 2 · EA $24.99 183,764 61% 5.5M $138M (exactly $137,767,871) Mega Crit
Lethal Company · EA older $9.99 411,550 97% 12M $123M (exactly $123,341,535) Zeekerss
Last Epoch older $34.99 106,364 76% 3.2M $112M (exactly $111,650,291) Eleventh Hour Games
Darkest Dungeon® older $24.99 140,790 91% 4.2M $106M (exactly $105,550,263) Red Hook Studios
Hades II $29.99 114,419 95% 3.4M $103M (exactly $102,942,774) Supergiant Games
Diablo® IV older $49.99 58,668 69% 1.8M $88M (exactly $87,984,400) Blizzard Entertainment, Inc.
Escape the Backrooms $9.99 137,315 90% 4.1M $41M (exactly $41,153,306) Fancy Games, Blackbird Interactive
AI LIMIT $34.99 22,833 92% 685k $24M (exactly $23,967,800) Sense Games
Wayfinder $24.99 25,104 60% 753k $19M (exactly $18,820,469) Airship Syndicate
Titan Quest II · EA $34.99 17,398 81% 522k $18M (exactly $18,262,681) Grimlore Games
9 Kings · EA $19.99 21,352 92% 641k $13M (exactly $12,804,794) Sad Socket
Mistfall Hunter $24.99 16,045 53% 481k $12M (exactly $12,028,936) Bellring Games
Shape of Dreams $24.99 15,769 89% 473k $12M (exactly $11,822,019) Lizard Smoothie

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.