Do I ship it?

GamesDungeon CrawlerDungeon Crawler + Modern

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Modern-Day Dungeon Crawler?

Dungeon Crawler + Modern

Only 13 developers shipped a Modern-Day Dungeon Crawler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Diablo II: Resurrected – Infernal Edition, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×3.2 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $7.0M, ×14788 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 21 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 21 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dungeon Crawler + Modern
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $3.6k → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Dungeon Crawler + Modern: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,497)
Top 25% $8.8k (exactly $8,807)
Top 5% $7.0M (exactly $7,024,244)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 30
Announced 21
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dungeon Crawler
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Modern
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Dungeon Crawler; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, JRPG, Party-Based RPG
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 9 games average 86% positive over 6,082 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $8.8k, 1 in 20 over $7.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dungeon Crawler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Time ManagementFair35 devs · median $7.0k · 44 announced
  2. + GamblingFair16 devs · median $7.0k · 17 announced
  3. + DiceFair24 devs · median $5.1k · 32 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair29 devs · median $2.3k · 38 announced
  5. + Local Co-OpFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair65 devs · median $1.0k · 74 announced
  7. + Word GameFair12 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  8. + ThrillerFair45 devs · median $716 · 46 announced
  9. + Walking SimulatorFair59 devs · median $479 · 62 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair29 devs · median $479 · 33 announced
  11. + MMORPGPoor odds10 devs · median $144k · 80 announced
  12. + DwarvesPoor odds8 devs · median $55k · 30 announced

All 175 pairs on the Dungeon Crawler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Diablo II: Resurrected – Infernal Edition $39.99 5,855 86% 176k $7.0M (exactly $7,024,244) Blizzard Entertainment, Inc.
大千世界 older $3.99 2,289 86% 69k $274k (exactly $273,993) 滑稽工作室
Mega Mall Story older $8.99 302 94% 9.1k $81k (exactly $81,449) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Girlfriend Rescue older $9.99 138 81% 4.1k $41k (exactly $41,359) Aldorlea Games
Alisa's Grimoire $16.99 77 87% 2.3k $39k (exactly $39,247) Circle Kurasuke Warehouse
Makai Agito $9.99 72 94% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,578) Gumi Bytes, Dani Sugimoto-Lee
Unable to Exit 8 older $4.99 139 74% 4.2k $21k (exactly $20,808) Robot
Advent Crossroad older $9.99 30 90% 900 $9.0k (exactly $8,991) NANKADA
Demon Corporation: Onboarding $6.99 42 95% 1.3k $8.8k (exactly $8,807) A Shrine of Ludens
Crystal Story: Dawn of Dusk older $5.99 34 67% 1.0k $6.1k (exactly $6,110) Fred Brown
Rolling Ball: HD Remaster $59.99 2 50% 60 $3.6k (exactly $3,599) SUNYU Games
Lust Knight Lisa $14.99 5 60% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) Overlord Empire LLC
NECRONOMICAT $4.99 10 100% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) GROOVY GORY GAMES
Дейтсим Говна $2.99 16 100% 480 $1.4k (exactly $1,435) Traxmaster Productions
Cage Girl $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) MCGame
Labyrinthesis $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) crabbyCoder

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.