Do I ship it?

GamesDungeon CrawlerDungeon Crawler + Dwarves

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dwarf Dungeon Crawler?

Dungeon Crawler + Dwarves

Only 8 developers shipped a Dwarf Dungeon Crawler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dwarven Realms, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $55k, ×88 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.9k; 1 in 20 cleared $850k, ×1360 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 30 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 87.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 30 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dungeon Crawler + Dwarves
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Dungeon Crawler + Dwarves: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $1.9k (exactly $1,888)
Median $55k (exactly $55,048)
Top 25% $233k (exactly $233,283)
Top 5% $854k (exactly $854,145)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 30
Announced 30
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dungeon Crawler
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Dwarves
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Dungeon Crawler
Price point
$12.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $12.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 16,863 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.9k, median $55k, 1 in 4 over $230k, 1 in 20 over $850k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.9k. 30 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dungeon Crawler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Time ManagementFair35 devs · median $7.0k · 44 announced
  2. + GamblingFair16 devs · median $7.0k · 17 announced
  3. + DiceFair24 devs · median $5.1k · 32 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair29 devs · median $2.3k · 38 announced
  5. + Local Co-OpFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair65 devs · median $1.0k · 74 announced
  7. + Word GameFair12 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  8. + ThrillerFair45 devs · median $716 · 46 announced
  9. + Walking SimulatorFair59 devs · median $479 · 62 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair29 devs · median $479 · 33 announced
  11. + MMORPGPoor odds10 devs · median $144k · 80 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds17 devs · median $32k · 42 announced

All 175 pairs on the Dungeon Crawler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Might & Magic X - Legacy older $29.99 3,178 65% 95k $2.9M (exactly $2,859,247) Ubisoft
Dwarven Realms $9.99 2,850 81% 86k $854k (exactly $854,145) Crater Studios
Rampage Knights older $12.99 2,179 93% 65k $849k (exactly $849,156) Rake in Grass
Warhammer Quest (Classic) older $29.99 897 71% 27k $807k (exactly $807,031) Rodeo Games, Twistplay
Regions Of Ruin older $11.99 1,972 84% 59k $709k (exactly $709,328) Gameclaw Studio
Dungeon Siege II older $6.99 2,645 76% 79k $555k (exactly $554,656) Gas Powered Games
Desktop Dungeons older $14.99 1,134 88% 34k $510k (exactly $509,960) QCF Design
We Are The Dwarves older $14.99 1,072 75% 32k $482k (exactly $482,078) Whale Rock Games
Dungeon Lords Steam Edition older $14.99 603 79% 18k $271k (exactly $271,169) Heuristic Park
Deity Empires older $24.99 333 86% 10k $250k (exactly $249,650) BaileyHausdorff Systems
Regions of Ruin: Runegate $19.99 389 84% 12k $233k (exactly $233,283) Gameclaw Studio
Gargadusa's Tower $8.99 294 90% 8.8k $79k (exactly $79,292) The Math Team
Dverghold · EA $16.99 108 95% 3.2k $55k (exactly $55,048) Team Sorgarn
Dwarf Delve $12.99 33 33% 990 $13k (exactly $12,860) Gloom Box
Seeker of the Ruins $8.99 7 100% 210 $1.9k (exactly $1,888) LionEY Games
Evershard: Heroes of Gallan's Landing · EA $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Herculean Studios
Samgood Chronicles DragonFall $12.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) sammy chainsaws studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.