Do I ship it?

GamesDungeon CrawlerDungeon Crawler + War

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a War Dungeon Crawler?

Dungeon Crawler + War

Only 12 developers shipped a War Dungeon Crawler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Three Kingdoms Mushouden, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.5k, ×10 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $1.4M, ×2240 the market median. Revenue is up 120% on the market; 21 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 120% on the market, 21 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dungeon Crawler + War
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $85k → $180 → $18k → $2.9k
Outcomes for Dungeon Crawler + War: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $6.5k (exactly $6,472)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,988)
Top 5% $1.4M (exactly $1,406,437)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 30
Announced 21
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 120% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dungeon Crawler
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
War
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Dungeon Crawler
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 5,020 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $6.5k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $1.4M.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dungeon Crawler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Time ManagementFair35 devs · median $7.0k · 44 announced
  2. + GamblingFair16 devs · median $7.0k · 17 announced
  3. + DiceFair24 devs · median $5.1k · 32 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair29 devs · median $2.3k · 38 announced
  5. + Local Co-OpFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair65 devs · median $1.0k · 74 announced
  7. + Word GameFair12 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  8. + ThrillerFair45 devs · median $716 · 46 announced
  9. + Walking SimulatorFair59 devs · median $479 · 62 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair29 devs · median $479 · 33 announced
  11. + MMORPGPoor odds10 devs · median $144k · 80 announced
  12. + DwarvesPoor odds8 devs · median $55k · 30 announced

All 175 pairs on the Dungeon Crawler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Three Kingdoms Mushouden $24.99 1,876 72% 56k $1.4M (exactly $1,406,437) NanBei Studio
How Many Dudes? $14.99 2,948 89% 88k $1.3M (exactly $1,325,716) Butterscotch Shenanigans
LEVEL UP 80 older $39.99 99 79% 3.0k $119k (exactly $118,770) Galactic Geckon
Shelter Manager older $14.99 251 62% 7.5k $113k (exactly $112,875) Hamsters Gaming
Trinity Trigger older $29.99 99 59% 3.0k $89k (exactly $89,070) FURYU Corporation
三国真龙传 older $4.99 567 77% 17k $85k (exactly $84,880) 怪侠一枝梅
Uberlaufer · EA older $10.00 74 83% 2.2k $22k (exactly $22,200) Think Tank Decoy Software LLC
Dead Wells: The Devil Fragment $14.99 40 70% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Echo7Project
Vault of Power $11.99 50 62% 1.5k $18k (exactly $17,985) Jim Games
Arinoa: Conquest $14.99 16 87% 480 $7.2k (exactly $7,195) Alternate
Zombie Epoch:Deck Apocalypse $7.99 27 62% 810 $6.5k (exactly $6,472) HY Indie Game
Fell in love with the Nobility girl As a member of the rebel organization $6.99 28 78% 840 $5.9k (exactly $5,872) selenophobia
Letters of longing $2.99 32 96% 960 $2.9k (exactly $2,870) Happy Break Bones
VADE RETRO SATANA $7.99 2 50% 60 $479 (exactly $479) Salazar Productions
KAIBIL $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Salazar Productions

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.