Do I ship it?

GamesDungeon CrawlerDungeon Crawler + Conspiracy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Conspiracy Dungeon Crawler?

Dungeon Crawler + Conspiracy

Only 9 developers shipped a Conspiracy Dungeon Crawler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Colony 37, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $120 in the last 2 years and $270 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 21 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 21 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dungeon Crawler + Conspiracy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.0k → $239 → $59 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Dungeon Crawler + Conspiracy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $120 (exactly $120)
Top 25% $269 (exactly $269)
Top 5% $20k (exactly $20,093)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 31
Announced 21
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dungeon Crawler
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Conspiracy
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Dungeon Crawler
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 694 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $260, 1 in 20 over $20k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 21 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dungeon Crawler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Time ManagementFair35 devs · median $7.0k · 44 announced
  2. + GamblingFair16 devs · median $7.0k · 17 announced
  3. + DiceFair24 devs · median $5.1k · 32 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair29 devs · median $2.3k · 38 announced
  5. + Local Co-OpFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 60 announced
  6. + ZombiesFair65 devs · median $1.0k · 74 announced
  7. + Word GameFair12 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  8. + ThrillerFair45 devs · median $716 · 46 announced
  9. + Walking SimulatorFair59 devs · median $479 · 62 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair29 devs · median $479 · 33 announced
  11. + MMORPGPoor odds10 devs · median $144k · 80 announced
  12. + DwarvesPoor odds8 devs · median $55k · 30 announced

All 175 pairs on the Dungeon Crawler page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Backrooms · EA older $9.99 119 62% 3.6k $36k (exactly $35,664) Ionized Games
StarCrawlers Chimera older $19.99 43 69% 1.3k $26k (exactly $25,787) Juggernaut Games
Colony 37 · EA $2.99 224 95% 6.7k $20k (exactly $20,093) Valen
The Backrooms Multiplayer · EA older $8.99 56 39% 1.7k $15k (exactly $15,103) Untold Backrooms Stories
告死天使的审判 Death Angel Trial older $3.99 67 79% 2.0k $8.0k (exactly $8,020) 我妻寒十
Frozen Shelter older $3.56 33 66% 990 $3.5k (exactly $3,524) Aktamia, Admia
Another World - Thought Taboo older $4.99 20 85% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) Ashwind
Project Liminal Redux older $0.99 91 59% 2.7k $2.7k (exactly $2,703) AquaHeaven Studios
Monkey Doomsday older $1.99 37 81% 1.1k $2.2k (exactly $2,209) Supreme Gauntlet Games
Sexy Heroine! Part 3 older $7.99 4 75% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Sexy Dev!
Fracas $5.99 2 50% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Rookbird Games
Cliché Horror 2000s: The Witch’s Lair $2.99 3 100% 90 $269 (exactly $269) High Room Game studio
The Almagest Anomalies $3.99 2 50% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Lee Powell
701病房 $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Shuo Xu
Silency: Cube 666 $0.99 2 0% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Ayyya
Tales of the Cryptozoo · EA $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) PROYECTAEX
Dreamrealm's Tower of Despair $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) CaffeineBoosterGames
Liminal Protocol · EA $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Rabbit House Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.