Do I ship it?

GamesMechanics6DOF

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 6DOF game?

6DOF

Of 245 developers who shipped a 6DOF game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 403 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×234 the market median. Revenue is up 85% on the market; 403 games are announced against 125 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 85% on the market, 403 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
6DOF
Fig. 1 · this niche among 355
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 245
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $1.9k → $1.5k → $1.5k → $719 → $899 → $1.4k (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 6DOF: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 245
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $836 (exactly $836)
Top 25% $4.7k (exactly $4,676)
Top 5% $147k (exactly $147,052)
Developers, 2 yr 245
Released games 1,061
Announced 403
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 85% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

6DOF
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
6DOF
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 12,984 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $840, 1 in 4 over $4.6k, 1 in 20 over $140k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 150 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 403 games are announced against 125 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · every pair with this tag

All pairs with 6DOF

65 pairs with a mechanicwith: mechanics · settings · any
  1. Destruction + 6DOF Poor odds $179 7 devs
  2. Action RPG + 6DOF Poor odds $30 9 devs
  3. 6DOF + Dating Sim Dead $3.1k 11 devs
  4. Stealth + 6DOF Dead $2.4k 9 devs
  5. Automobile Sim + 6DOF Dead $1.4k 7 devs
  6. Driving + 6DOF Dead $1.4k 7 devs
  7. 6DOF + Choose Your Own Adventure Dead $629 7 devs
  8. 6DOF + Score Attack Dead $479 13 devs
  9. 6DOF + Shoot 'Em Up Dead $360 12 devs
  10. Parkour + 6DOF Dead $356 10 devs
  11. 6DOF + Runner Dead $356 10 devs
  12. 6DOF + Precision Platformer Dead $180 12 devs
  13. 6DOF + Puzzle Platformer Dead $179 14 devs
  14. 6DOF + 2D Platformer Dead $120 6 devs
  15. Arena Shooter + 6DOF Dead $0 6 devs
Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gorilla Tag older $19.99 52,637 93% 1.6M $32M (exactly $31,566,409) Another Axiom Inc.
VTOL VR older $29.99 19,885 98% 597k $18M (exactly $17,890,534) Boundless Dynamics, LLC
CarX Street older $19.99 17,600 72% 528k $11M (exactly $10,554,720) CarX Technologies, LLC
EVERSPACE™ older $19.99 9,809 77% 294k $5.9M (exactly $5,882,457) ROCKFISH Games
河洛群俠傳 (Ho Tu Lo Shu : The Books of Dragon) older $17.99 9,616 81% 288k $5.2M (exactly $5,189,755) 香港商河洛互動娛樂股份有限公司
Uncrashed : FPV Drone Simulator older $14.99 7,770 95% 233k $3.5M (exactly $3,494,169) Luminite
Metro Awakening $29.99 3,013 73% 90k $2.7M (exactly $2,710,796) Vertigo Games
Raw Data older $39.99 2,036 81% 61k $2.4M (exactly $2,442,589) Survios
Walkabout Mini Golf VR older $24.99 3,094 97% 93k $2.3M (exactly $2,319,572) Mighty Coconut
Angels Fall First $17.99 3,835 81% 115k $2.1M (exactly $2,069,749) Strangely Interactive Ltd
Bootstrap Island $24.99 1,362 81% 41k $1.0M (exactly $1,021,091) Maru VR
Gunman Contracts - Stand Alone · EA $24.99 1,180 78% 35k $885k (exactly $884,646) ANB_Seth
Arizona Sunshine® VR Remake $19.99 1,203 88% 36k $721k (exactly $721,439) Vertigo Games
Maestro $24.99 543 96% 16k $407k (exactly $407,087) Double Jack
Roboquest VR $29.99 395 87% 12k $355k (exactly $355,382) Flat2VR Studios, RyseUp Studios
Zero Caliber 2 Remastered $24.99 433 79% 13k $325k (exactly $324,620) XREAL Games
I Am Cat $19.99 526 68% 16k $315k (exactly $315,442) NEW FOLDER GAMES
Firehawk: FPV Drone Shooter $19.99 494 91% 15k $296k (exactly $296,252) TruePlayers

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.