Do I ship it?

Games6DOF6DOF + Runner

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Runner 6DOF game?

6DOF + Runner

Only 10 developers shipped a Runner 6DOF game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Vertigo Rush, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $360 against a market of $630. 10 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 1810% on the market, 10 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
6DOF + Runner
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.5k → $12k → $356
Outcomes for 6DOF + Runner: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $356 (exactly $356)
Top 25% $958 (exactly $958)
Top 5% $2.2k (exactly $2,248)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 29
Announced 10
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1810% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

6DOF
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Runner
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
6DOF, Runner
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 68% positive over 50 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $360, 1 in 4 over $950, 1 in 20 over $2.2k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

6DOF with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair15 devs · median $4.7k · 7 announced
  2. + TacticalFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  3. + RobotsFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  4. + WarFair11 devs · median $1.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Dark FantasyFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair29 devs · median $958 · 39 announced
  7. + RhythmPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds8 devs · median $9.6k · 17 announced
  9. + MilitaryPoor odds10 devs · median $7.6k · 17 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds12 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds13 devs · median $3.6k · 8 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds32 devs · median $3.6k · 69 announced

All 90 pairs on the 6DOF page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Panoptic older $16.99 281 96% 8.4k $143k (exactly $143,226) Team Panoptes
VR Skater older $19.99 222 86% 6.7k $133k (exactly $133,133) DEFICIT Games
Run Pizza Run older $4.99 83 86% 2.5k $12k (exactly $12,425) IZI Games
Climb VR New York Parkour older $19.99 12 25% 360 $7.2k (exactly $7,196) SRİO
Venture's Gauntlet: The Ultimate VR Fitness Obstacle Course older $9.99 22 72% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) Bearhammer Games LTD
Vacuum cleaner robot simulator: pile sos edition older $9.99 14 85% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Gamesforgames
CucumbeRunner older $3.99 21 100% 630 $2.5k (exactly $2,514) Crystal Bat Studio
Vertigo Rush · EA $14.99 5 100% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) Sumalab
Only Straight and Up! $19.99 3 33% 90 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) AF Games
Cat Go! Ultimate Challenge older $1.99 26 84% 780 $1.6k (exactly $1,552) Andreev Worlds, Gamesforgames
Fear Simulator VR $3.99 8 25% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Overbuilt S.A.
Skuf for altushki $0.99 20 80% 600 $594 (exactly $594) Skuf
Circus Challenge $0.99 12 75% 360 $356 (exactly $356) Angel Torres
Gravity $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) VortexStudio
Bizzare Cat Rescuer $0.99 1 0% 30 $30 (exactly $30) NinjaCat
Deathrun $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Inonia Games
Speed Lane $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) mannered.monster
Rapid Puppet $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Warp Zone Experiments

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.