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Should I ship a Dating Sim 6DOF game?
6DOF + Dating Sim
Only 11 developers shipped a Dating Sim 6DOF game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, VR-Kanojo, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.1k against a market of $630. 7 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $2.2k (exactly $2,249) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.1k (exactly $3,149) |
| Top 25% | $9.6k (exactly $9,595) |
| Top 5% | $290k (exactly $290,347) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 50 |
| Announced | 7 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $19.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 6DOF
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Dating Sim
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- 6DOF, Dating Sim; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Interactive Fiction, Simulation, Visual Novel
- Price point
- $19.99 typical · top 25% priced $54.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, VR, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $54.99 or above; the middle game at $19.99.
The top 10 games average 62% positive over 329 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.3k. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 7 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
6DOF with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RoguelikeFair
- + TacticalFair
- + RobotsFair
- + WarFair
- + Dark FantasyFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + RhythmPoor odds
- + CyberpunkPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
Comparable games
河洛群俠傳 (Ho Tu Lo Shu ： The Books of Dragon) 2018 · $5.2M 
VR HOT 2021 · EA · $1.3M 
Spice&Wolf VR2 2020 · $497k 
VR-Kanojo 2025 · $290k 
Mirage 2020 · EA · $251k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 河洛群俠傳 (Ho Tu Lo Shu ： The Books of Dragon) | older | $17.99 | 9,616 81% | 288k | $5.2M (exactly $5,189,755) | 香港商河洛互動娛樂股份有限公司 |
| | VR HOT | · EA older | $44.99 | 998 66% | 30k | $1.3M (exactly $1,347,001) | VR HOT |
| | Spice&Wolf VR2 | older | $24.99 | 663 96% | 20k | $497k (exactly $497,051) | SpicyTails |
| | VR-Kanojo | $54.99 | 176 63% | 5.3k | $290k (exactly $290,347) | ILLUMINATION | |
| | Mirage | · EA older | $29.99 | 279 63% | 8.4k | $251k (exactly $251,016) | MorganaVR |
 | JOI Lab VR 🔞 / 自慰ラボ | $14.99 | 43 60% | 1.3k | $19k (exactly $19,337) | Caulino | |
 | Sex Simulator | older | $2.99 | 209 71% | 6.3k | $19k (exactly $18,747) | Slippy Floor |
 | Fetish Club | older | $24.99 | 23 60% | 690 | $17k (exactly $17,243) | SinVR |
 | VR Harem Life ~ Your Room Became a Hang-Out for Girls!? ~ | older | $18.99 | 22 72% | 660 | $13k (exactly $12,533) | SK Soft |
 | Hentai Dolls | $19.99 | 20 80% | 600 | $12k (exactly $11,994) | SinVR | |
 | Cyber Freeuse Fantasy | $19.99 | 16 68% | 480 | $9.6k (exactly $9,595) | SinVR | |
 | Wall Town Wonders | $19.99 | 14 78% | 420 | $8.4k (exactly $8,396) | Cyborn B.V. | |
 | Fantasex Chronicles | $19.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $6.6k (exactly $6,597) | SinVR | |
 | Virgin Simulator | $4.99 | 30 36% | 900 | $4.5k (exactly $4,491) | Ilmir Nasertdinov | |
 | DiveInLoveVR | $34.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $3.1k (exactly $3,149) | LMTD | |
 | Family Friends: Beyond Home | $7.99 | 13 30% | 390 | $3.1k (exactly $3,116) | eroverse | |
 | Just Futanari 3 | $24.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $2.2k (exactly $2,249) | AhrpuXR |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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