Do I ship it?

Games6DOF6DOF + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure 6DOF game?

6DOF + Choose Your Own Adventure

Only 7 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure 6DOF game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Human Within, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $630 against a market of $630. 23 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 23 announced, ×5.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
6DOF + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for 6DOF + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $629 (exactly $629)
Top 25% $3.9k (exactly $3,896)
Top 5% $11k (exactly $11,394)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 47
Announced 23
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

6DOF
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
6DOF, Choose Your Own Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 2,532 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $630, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $11k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 23 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

6DOF with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair15 devs · median $4.7k · 7 announced
  2. + TacticalFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  3. + RobotsFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  4. + WarFair11 devs · median $1.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Dark FantasyFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair29 devs · median $958 · 39 announced
  7. + RhythmPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds8 devs · median $9.6k · 17 announced
  9. + MilitaryPoor odds10 devs · median $7.6k · 17 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds12 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds13 devs · median $3.6k · 8 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds32 devs · median $3.6k · 69 announced

All 90 pairs on the 6DOF page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
OverDrift Festival older $9.99 1,103 79% 33k $331k (exactly $330,569) OverDrift Crew
Laid-Back Camp - Virtual - Lake Motosu older $19.99 362 80% 11k $217k (exactly $217,091) Gemdrops, Inc.
Fast Food Manager older $14.99 238 69% 7.1k $107k (exactly $107,029) Cyber Eye
Laid-Back Camp - Virtual - Fumoto Campsite older $19.99 151 89% 4.5k $91k (exactly $90,555) Gemdrops, Inc.
Sea Dogs: City of Abandoned Ships older $7.99 245 76% 7.4k $59k (exactly $58,726) Akella
Sea Dogs older $11.99 162 75% 4.9k $58k (exactly $58,271) Akella
Aquarelle older $59.99 19 68% 570 $34k (exactly $34,194) Andreev Worlds
Ragdoll: Fall Simulator older $9.99 82 76% 2.5k $25k (exactly $24,575) Andreev Worlds, Gamesforfarm
ШХД: ЛЕТО / IT'S SUMMER older $9.99 57 68% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,083) ИЛЬЯМАЗО, GRüN STUDIO
Biolum older $3.99 113 81% 3.4k $14k (exactly $13,526) IKO, Reynard Films, Prefrontal Cortex
Human Within $19.99 19 52% 570 $11k (exactly $11,394) Signal Space Lab, Actrio Studio
Ragdoll Playground $9.99 13 69% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Paphnutius
SKY LEGENDS - An Aeropostal Epic $24.99 5 60% 150 $3.7k (exactly $3,748) SUPER AC
SUMMER WITH MY WIFE $6.99 3 0% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Lust Zone Studio
Fun Road $2.99 5 60% 150 $449 (exactly $449) RMIT
The Passengers $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Couzin Films, Les Produits Frais
Normile $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) SomeBadScripter

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.