Do I ship it?

GamesDestructionDestruction + 6DOF

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 6DOF Destruction game?

Destruction + 6DOF

Only 7 developers shipped a 6DOF Destruction game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ragdoll Playground, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180, ×0.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper, while momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 14 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Destruction + 6DOF
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $1.5k → $0
Outcomes for Destruction + 6DOF: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Top 5% $3.9k (exactly $3,896)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 35
Announced 14
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 500% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
6DOF
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Destruction, 6DOF
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 68% positive over 604 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $3.8k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 14 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Space SimFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + ModernFair26 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  3. + God GameFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $719 · 14 announced
  5. + Hack and SlashPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $26k · 22 announced
  7. + CapitalismPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 46 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds37 devs · median $13k · 102 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds50 devs · median $11k · 113 announced
  10. + Automobile SimPoor odds22 devs · median $9.0k · 44 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds36 devs · median $6.1k · 129 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds22 devs · median $6.0k · 46 announced

All 139 pairs on the Destruction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Disassembly VR older $29.99 157 59% 4.7k $141k (exactly $141,253) Khor Chin Heong
Destructive Physics - Destruction Simulator older $19.99 87 78% 2.6k $52k (exactly $52,174) KreizLand Games
Evasion older $19.99 48 68% 1.4k $29k (exactly $28,786) Archiact
Ragdoll: Fall Simulator older $9.99 82 76% 2.5k $25k (exactly $24,575) Andreev Worlds, Gamesforfarm
Stop Sign VR Tools · EA older $5.99 59 84% 1.8k $11k (exactly $10,602) Reality Inside Ltd.
Prisoner 518 older $9.99 27 77% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) WhippedUP_gaming
Cactus Cowboy - Desert Warfare older $9.99 27 96% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Cactus VR Studios
The Island older $1.99 95 45% 2.9k $5.7k (exactly $5,672) Ibis Games
Ragdoll Playground $9.99 13 69% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Paphnutius
Destroyer older $9.99 9 77% 270 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Arent
Samsara $9.99 6 50% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Narriflux
Glory Defence $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Waytrel Studio
Falseflash $1.99 3 66% 90 $179 (exactly $179) Blackscale Studios
Cannoneer $11.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) dReal
DarkSpase · EA $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Devon James
FRACTURA $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) ADE

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.