Do I ship it?

Games6DOF6DOF + Shoot 'Em Up

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Shoot 'Em Up 6DOF game?

6DOF + Shoot 'Em Up

Only 12 developers shipped a Shoot 'Em Up 6DOF game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Metro Awakening, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 13 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 13 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
6DOF + Shoot 'Em Up
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $241k → $416 → $0
Outcomes for 6DOF + Shoot 'Em Up: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $360 (exactly $360)
Top 25% $809 (exactly $809)
Top 5% $2.7M (exactly $2,710,796)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 57
Announced 13
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

6DOF
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Shoot 'Em Up
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
6DOF, Shoot 'Em Up
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 6 games average 73% positive over 3,035 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $360, 1 in 4 over $800, 1 in 20 over $2.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

6DOF with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair15 devs · median $4.7k · 7 announced
  2. + TacticalFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  3. + RobotsFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  4. + WarFair11 devs · median $1.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Dark FantasyFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair29 devs · median $958 · 39 announced
  7. + RhythmPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds8 devs · median $9.6k · 17 announced
  9. + MilitaryPoor odds10 devs · median $7.6k · 17 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds12 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds13 devs · median $3.6k · 8 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds32 devs · median $3.6k · 69 announced

All 90 pairs on the 6DOF page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Metro Awakening $29.99 3,013 73% 90k $2.7M (exactly $2,710,796) Vertigo Games
Raw Data older $39.99 2,036 81% 61k $2.4M (exactly $2,442,589) Survios
Death in the Water 2 older $14.99 1,734 83% 52k $780k (exactly $779,780) Lighthouse Games Studio
Drums Rock older $19.99 402 88% 12k $241k (exactly $241,079) Garage51
Disassembly VR older $29.99 157 59% 4.7k $141k (exactly $141,253) Khor Chin Heong
Holodance older $19.99 201 85% 6.0k $121k (exactly $120,540) narayana games UG
Deep Eclipse: New Space Odyssey older $6.99 165 73% 5.0k $35k (exactly $34,600) Ultravision Interactive
Evasion older $19.99 48 68% 1.4k $29k (exactly $28,786) Archiact
Viro Move older $24.99 23 43% 690 $17k (exactly $17,243) FIT REALITY
Rotten Apple older $14.99 36 83% 1.1k $16k (exactly $16,189) VRilliant Studios
Rogue Piñatas: VRmageddon $24.99 2 0% 60 $1.5k (exactly $1,499) Nerd Ninjas
Warranty Not Included · EA $8.99 3 100% 90 $809 (exactly $809) VRXtra
Attack of the Jersey Drones $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Nekomata Games LLC
FastShoot $0.99 14 64% 420 $416 (exactly $416) Fleer Art Studio, L1as
Medic Simulator: Combat Zone · EA $11.99 1 100% 30 $360 (exactly $360) Code Lab
Brick Blaster $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Electronic Imagination
Cannoneer $11.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) dReal
Battle of Nowhere · EA $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Great Victory Legends, Inc.
DarkSpase · EA $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Devon James

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.