Do I ship it?

Games › Arena Shooter › Arena Shooter + 6DOF

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 6DOF Arena Shooter?

Arena Shooter + 6DOF

Only 6 developers shipped a 6DOF Arena Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Harpagun, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×9.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $0 against a market of $630. 19 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 19 announced, ×9.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arena Shooter + 6DOF
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Arena Shooter + 6DOF: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $0 (exactly $0)
Top 25% $59 (exactly $59)
Top 5% $11k (exactly $11,394)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 28
Announced 19
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arena Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
6DOF
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Arena Shooter, 6DOF
Price point
$5.00 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 68% positive over 419 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $0, 1 in 4 over $59, 1 in 20 over $11k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×9.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arena Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + IncrementalFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  2. + DemonsFair54 devs · median $1.3k · 55 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair45 devs · median $809 · 43 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced
  5. + CollectathonLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 13 announced
  6. + DeckbuildingPoor odds9 devs · median $3.1k · 26 announced
  7. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds75 devs · median $2.3k · 101 announced
  8. + Class-BasedPoor odds19 devs · median $2.2k · 50 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterPoor odds133 devs · median $1.8k · 165 announced
  10. + Dark FantasyPoor odds59 devs · median $1.7k · 85 announced
  11. + On-Rails ShooterPoor odds10 devs · median $1.5k · 11 announced
  12. + RPGPoor odds88 devs · median $1.4k · 124 announced

All 134 pairs on the Arena Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

STRIDE: Fates 2024 · $134k The Burst 2024 · $36k NeonXSZ 2016 · $28k DYSTORIA 2017 · $13k Harpagun 2025 · $11k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
STRIDE: Fates older $29.99 149 51% 4.5k $134k (exactly $134,055) Joy Way
The Burst older $15.99 76 72% 2.3k $36k (exactly $36,457) GoRapid Studio
NeonXSZ older $9.99 92 75% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,572) Intravenous Software
DYSTORIA older $19.99 21 90% 630 $13k (exactly $12,594) Tri-Coastal Games
Harpagun $19.99 19 73% 570 $11k (exactly $11,394) Something Random
Woeful Woebots older $9.99 14 64% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Hello Bard AS
Shooty Skies Overdrive older $9.99 14 92% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Mighty Games
Monkey Doo older $14.99 9 66% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) Continuum XR
Beers and Boomerangs older $4.99 21 100% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) Witty Platypus
Tiny Archers VR older $19.99 4 75% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) 1DER Entertainment
Tanks online $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Aleksey
Catastrophic Inversion · EA $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Toastid Waffel
Toilet Toss $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Poly Tool Design
STICKMAN DX : MEGA FIGHTERS $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) LITTLE Z
Demonium Illusion $5.00 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Vektor Technology

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.