Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based CombatTurn-Based Combat + Rhythm

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Rhythm Turn-Based Combat game?

Turn-Based Combat + Rhythm

Only 10 developers shipped a Rhythm Turn-Based Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Fretless - The Wrath of Riffson, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $86k, ×180 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $59k; 1 in 20 cleared $620k, ×1324 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 16 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 180.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 16 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Combat + Rhythm
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Turn-Based Combat + Rhythm: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $59k (exactly $58,911)
Median $86k (exactly $85,714)
Top 25% $135k (exactly $134,932)
Top 5% $629k (exactly $629,130)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 26
Announced 16
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Combat
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Rhythm
effort 3 / 10 · medium · audio sync, timing precision and music rights

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Combat, Rhythm
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 91% positive over 2,747 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59k, median $86k, 1 in 4 over $130k, 1 in 20 over $620k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59k. 16 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaStrong odds20 devs · median $19k · 21 announced
  2. + Hack and SlashStrong odds28 devs · median $3.7k · 27 announced
  3. + RomeFair8 devs · median $16k · 13 announced
  4. + CookingFair15 devs · median $6.0k · 22 announced
  5. + UndergroundFair18 devs · median $4.2k · 29 announced
  6. + IdlerFair52 devs · median $4.0k · 41 announced
  7. + DiceFair49 devs · median $2.2k · 59 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair81 devs · median $1.4k · 107 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair59 devs · median $1.3k · 71 announced
  10. + Tower DefenseFair28 devs · median $839 · 34 announced
  11. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $719 · 52 announced
  12. + SolitaireFair26 devs · median $450 · 31 announced

All 175 pairs on the Turn-Based Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
No Straight Roads: Encore Edition older $24.99 1,813 89% 54k $1.4M (exactly $1,359,206) Metronomik
Fretless - The Wrath of Riffson $14.99 1,399 98% 42k $629k (exactly $629,130) Ritual Studios
People of Note $24.99 389 89% 12k $292k (exactly $291,633) Iridium Studios
Keylocker | Turn Based Cyberpunk Action $19.99 225 84% 6.8k $135k (exactly $134,932) Moonana
K-pop Idol Stories: Road to Debut $19.99 175 53% 5.3k $105k (exactly $104,947) Wisageni Studio
The Land Beneath Us older $14.99 230 79% 6.9k $103k (exactly $103,431) FairPlay Studios
No Socks RPG $9.99 286 92% 8.6k $86k (exactly $85,714) Spicyfuse
Wardrum $24.99 87 86% 2.6k $65k (exactly $65,224) Mopeful Games
Lord Ambermaze $14.99 131 91% 3.9k $59k (exactly $58,911) Potata Company
Dino Hazard: Chronos Blackout older $24.99 78 88% 2.3k $58k (exactly $58,477) Bone Collectors
Coinsweeper $4.99 43 86% 1.3k $6.4k (exactly $6,437) Duo Forge Games
Menhera Farm $6.99 12 83% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Sugar Star, シュガースター
Five Elements Clash Battle $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) YIN YUAN

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.