Do I ship it?

Games › Trading › Trading + Walking Simulator

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Trading Walking Simulator?

Trading + Walking Simulator

Only 13 developers shipped a Trading Walking Simulator in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Prison Escape Simulator: Dig Out, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $13k, ×28 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $830k, ×1761 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 16 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 27.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 16 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Trading + Walking Simulator
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $20k → $13k (still earning) → $4.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Trading + Walking Simulator: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $1.6k (exactly $1,617)
Median $13k (exactly $13,167)
Top 25% $47k (exactly $46,528)
Top 5% $837k (exactly $836,553)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 27
Announced 16
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 150% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Trading
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Trading, Walking Simulator
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 5,975 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $13k, 1 in 4 over $46k, 1 in 20 over $830k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 4 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Trading with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MiningFair32 devs · median $12k · 33 announced
  2. + Score AttackFair13 devs · median $600 · 13 announced
  3. + MMORPGPoor odds6 devs · median $206k · 42 announced
  4. + Character CustomizationPoor odds26 devs · median $60k · 137 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds23 devs · median $47k · 84 announced
  6. + Co-opPoor odds24 devs · median $47k · 82 announced
  7. + FlightPoor odds6 devs · median $36k · 21 announced
  8. + SportsPoor odds11 devs · median $34k · 14 announced
  9. + CollectathonPoor odds28 devs · median $30k · 65 announced
  10. + PhysicsPoor odds23 devs · median $27k · 71 announced
  11. + DrivingPoor odds23 devs · median $24k · 48 announced
  12. + LootPoor odds23 devs · median $23k · 60 announced

All 109 pairs on the Trading page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

King of Retail 2022 · $2.3M Prison Escape Simulator: Dig Out 2025 · $837k Book of Travels 2021 · $239k TRADESMAN: Deal to Dealer 2026 · $229k A Merchant's Promise 2025 · EA · $135k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
King of Retail older $25.99 2,982 88% 89k $2.3M (exactly $2,325,065) Freaking Games
Prison Escape Simulator: Dig Out $7.99 3,490 85% 105k $837k (exactly $836,553) Digital Melody
Book of Travels older $4.99 1,595 73% 48k $239k (exactly $238,772) Might and Delight
TRADESMAN: Deal to Dealer $4.99 1,528 78% 46k $229k (exactly $228,742) AZAMATIKA
A Merchant's Promise · EA $14.99 300 86% 9.0k $135k (exactly $134,910) Game Draft Studio
Chaos Express: Delivery Simulator · EA $13.37 116 77% 3.5k $47k (exactly $46,528) AVE Team
Village Merchant $14.99 60 68% 1.8k $27k (exactly $26,982) Beast Games S. A., Console Labs S. A.
Parcel Delivery Simulator $6.99 114 61% 3.4k $24k (exactly $23,906) Digital Melody
Packing House · EA older $9.99 73 68% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,878) SmartLife, Roman Studio
Colony 37 · EA $2.99 224 95% 6.7k $20k (exactly $20,093) Valen
Net 24h: Vietnamese Internet Cafe Simulator · EA $3.99 110 74% 3.3k $13k (exactly $13,167) Nam Dev
Space Supermarket Simulator $9.99 16 75% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) Mythforge Games
BookStore Simulator $7.99 17 41% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) Dark Mind

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.