Games › Trading › Trading + Visual Novel
Should I ship a Trading Visual Novel?
Trading + Visual Novel
Only 11 developers shipped a Trading Visual Novel in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, NTR LIFE, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $540, ×1.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $8.3k, ×18 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 17 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $120 (exactly $120) |
|---|---|
| Median | $538 (exactly $538) |
| Top 25% | $1.1k (exactly $1,139) |
| Top 5% | $8.4k (exactly $8,379) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 17 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Trading
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Trading, Visual Novel
- Price point
- $3.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 73% positive over 157 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Trading with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + MiningFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + FlightPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + DrivingPoor odds
- + LootPoor odds
Comparable games
Sailing Era 2023 · $3.4M 
Wolf of Stock Street 2021 · $289k 
Kardboard Kings: Card Shop Simulator 2022 · $195k 
Scheming Through The Zombie Apocalypse: The Beginning 2018 · $48k 
Ace Campus Club 2021 · $16k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sailing Era | older | $24.99 | 4,565 78% | 137k | $3.4M (exactly $3,422,380) | GY Games |
| | Wolf of Stock Street | older | $10.99 | 878 77% | 26k | $289k (exactly $289,477) | 樹懶叫工作室, sloth gamer |
| | Kardboard Kings: Card Shop Simulator | older | $19.99 | 325 73% | 9.8k | $195k (exactly $194,902) | Henry's House, Oscar Brittain, Rob Gross |
| | Scheming Through The Zombie Apocalypse: The Beginning | older | $4.99 | 322 84% | 9.7k | $48k (exactly $48,203) | Entertainment Forge |
| | Ace Campus Club | older | $14.99 | 36 52% | 1.1k | $16k (exactly $16,189) | ZiX Solutions |
 | The Chronicles of Quiver Dick | older | $2.99 | 173 93% | 5.2k | $16k (exactly $15,518) | Crankage Games |
 | Survive or Thrive | older | $1.99 | 233 98% | 7.0k | $14k (exactly $13,910) | Randumb Studios |
 | The Emerald Tablet | older | $19.99 | 21 57% | 630 | $13k (exactly $12,594) | {uni} |
 | Super Planet Life | older | $9.99 | 36 100% | 1.1k | $11k (exactly $10,789) | Northplay |
 | NTR LIFE | $3.99 | 70 74% | 2.1k | $8.4k (exactly $8,379) | Jpegsama | |
 | Casting Clicker | $2.99 | 63 76% | 1.9k | $5.7k (exactly $5,651) | Inspite | |
 | 逆袭人生 The Underdog Tycoon | $18.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $1.1k (exactly $1,139) | The Underdog Tycoon | |
 | Shop of Deals | $4.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $898 (exactly $898) | Kenthrix Studios | |
 | Space Pussy Hunter | $6.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $629 (exactly $629) | Lust Zone Studio | |
 | A Good Deed On Harris Avenue | $2.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $538 (exactly $538) | Daniel H. May | |
 | From Aristocrat's Pet to Culinary Queen: Reigning Over Flavors and Forbidden Desires | $3.29 | 4 25% | 120 | $395 (exactly $395) | Myriad | |
 | All Time High | $3.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | 3Cats Studio | |
 | When It Falls | $1.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $119 (exactly $119) | Team Stargazer | |
 | Femboy Simulator | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Persimmon228 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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