Do I ship it?

GamesTime ManipulationTime Manipulation + Tower Defense

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Manipulation Tower Defense?

Time Manipulation + Tower Defense

Only 9 developers shipped a Time Manipulation Tower Defense in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cube Chaos, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $220k, ×470 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 16 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 16 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Time Manipulation + Tower Defense
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $450 → $13k → $1.6k → $449 → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Time Manipulation + Tower Defense: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,559)
Top 5% $223k (exactly $223,374)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 29
Announced 16
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Time Manipulation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Tower Defense
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Time Manipulation, Tower Defense
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,680 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $750, 1 in 4 over $1.5k, 1 in 20 over $220k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 16 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Time Manipulation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair14 devs · median $2.7k · 9 announced
  2. + CapitalismFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + ModernFair12 devs · median $987 · 9 announced
  4. + PsychologicalFair18 devs · median $897 · 17 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $657 · 15 announced
  6. + RacingFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  7. + Precision PlatformerFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  8. + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 24 announced
  9. + RobotsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 16 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds7 devs · median $6.7k · 22 announced
  11. + DetectivePoor odds16 devs · median $6.5k · 32 announced
  12. + NoirPoor odds9 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced

All 103 pairs on the Time Manipulation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cube Chaos $11.99 621 95% 19k $223k (exactly $223,374) Wunarg
Time Rifters older $9.99 395 87% 12k $118k (exactly $118,382) Proton Studio Inc
Timemelters older $19.99 152 92% 4.6k $91k (exactly $91,154) Autoexec Games
Cube Land Arena older $4.99 279 66% 8.4k $42k (exactly $41,766) Jaison Robson Gusava, SC Jogos
Natti · EA older $7.99 109 58% 3.3k $26k (exactly $26,127) 4DAYS LAB Co., Ltd.
Temporal Titans · EA $9.99 44 95% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Lost Tower Games
Omnibullet older $11.99 36 100% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,949) Arbitrary Combination
Terminal squad: Sentinel older $3.99 29 55% 870 $3.5k (exactly $3,471) WinDARities, Driod Riot
Rip Them Off older $8.99 11 36% 330 $3.0k (exactly $2,967) Lozange Lab
Stop the Blight $12.99 4 50% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) Bouncy Washer
Age of Damnation $6.99 6 33% 180 $1.3k (exactly $1,258) WukaStudio
Miryam: The Polluted Land $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) 6.5F Studio
Israel vs. Iran: IRON DOME $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Michael Blair
Snow Defense $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) Saritasa VR Production
Wild Roots : Chef Vs Critters · EA $19.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Creekside Interactive
Rocket Commander VR $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Dev Dept.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.