Do I ship it?

Games › Time Manipulation › Time Manipulation + Post-apocalyptic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Post-apocalyptic Time Manipulation game?

Time Manipulation + Post-apocalyptic

Only 7 developers shipped a Post-apocalyptic Time Manipulation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Wanderer: The Fragments of Fate, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.7k, ×11 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $6.3k; 1 in 20 cleared $220k, ×356 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 22 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 22 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Time Manipulation + Post-apocalyptic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Time Manipulation + Post-apocalyptic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $6.3k (exactly $6,298)
Median $6.7k (exactly $6,746)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $15,290)
Top 5% $223k (exactly $223,455)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 29
Announced 22
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 150% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Time Manipulation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Post-apocalyptic
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Time Manipulation
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 10,643 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $6.3k, median $6.7k, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $220k.

3 in 10 developers made under $6.3k. 22 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Time Manipulation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair14 devs · median $2.7k · 9 announced
  2. + CapitalismFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + ModernFair12 devs · median $987 · 9 announced
  4. + PsychologicalFair18 devs · median $897 · 17 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $657 · 15 announced
  6. + RacingFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  7. + Precision PlatformerFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  8. + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 24 announced
  9. + RobotsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 16 announced
  10. + DetectivePoor odds16 devs · median $6.5k · 32 announced
  11. + NoirPoor odds9 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced
  12. + RPGPoor odds32 devs · median $5.4k · 93 announced

All 103 pairs on the Time Manipulation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Entropy Centre 2022 · $2.0M The Silent Age 2015 · $1.8M Wanderer 2022 · $989k Wanderer: The Fragments of Fate 2025 · $223k HORROR TALES: The Beggar 2024 · $46k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Entropy Centre older $19.99 3,359 89% 101k $2.0M (exactly $2,014,392) Stubby Games
The Silent Age older $9.99 5,966 93% 179k $1.8M (exactly $1,788,010) House On Fire
Wanderer older $39.99 824 83% 25k $989k (exactly $988,553) Mighty Eyes
Wanderer: The Fragments of Fate $49.99 149 62% 4.5k $223k (exactly $223,455) Mighty Eyes
HORROR TALES: The Beggar older $11.99 127 84% 3.8k $46k (exactly $45,682) CarlosGameDev
Zombieland VR: Headshot Fever older $19.99 62 83% 1.9k $37k (exactly $37,181) XR Games
Big Earth older $24.99 37 89% 1.1k $28k (exactly $27,739) PlayPlay Studios
Chernobyl Again older $19.99 39 61% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,388) Vimagineo Sp. z o.o.
Amber City older $13.99 46 95% 1.4k $19k (exactly $19,306) Irisloft
Mai: Child of Ages $14.99 34 88% 1.0k $15k (exactly $15,290) Chubby Pixel
Temporal Titans · EA $9.99 44 95% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Lost Tower Games
Remnants of the Rift $14.99 15 86% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Bromio
Reptilian Rising $29.99 7 100% 210 $6.3k (exactly $6,298) Gregarious Games, Robot Circus, Hyper L… (Gregarious Games, Robot Circus, Hyper Luminal Games)
No.13813 $5.99 17 88% 510 $3.1k (exactly $3,055) Typebits
Broken Time $3.99 14 100% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) N777

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.