Do I ship it?

GamesTime ManipulationTime Manipulation + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Manipulation Precision Platformer?

Time Manipulation + Precision Platformer

Of 22 developers who shipped a Time Manipulation Precision Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 20 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 20 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Time Manipulation + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $267 → $537 → $598 → $8.1k → $599 (still earning) → $180 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Time Manipulation + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $598 (exactly $598)
Top 25% $1.7k (exactly $1,679)
Top 5% $17k (exactly $17,498)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 62
Announced 20
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Time Manipulation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Time Manipulation, Precision Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry 2D Platformer, Action, Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Stylized, 2.5D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 304 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $600, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $17k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Time Manipulation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair14 devs · median $2.7k · 9 announced
  2. + CapitalismFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + ModernFair12 devs · median $987 · 9 announced
  4. + PsychologicalFair18 devs · median $897 · 17 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $657 · 15 announced
  6. + RacingFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  7. + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 24 announced
  8. + RobotsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 16 announced
  9. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds7 devs · median $6.7k · 22 announced
  10. + DetectivePoor odds16 devs · median $6.5k · 32 announced
  11. + NoirPoor odds9 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced
  12. + RPGPoor odds32 devs · median $5.4k · 93 announced

All 103 pairs on the Time Manipulation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
NODE $24.99 146 91% 4.4k $109k (exactly $109,456) Lapsus Games
Time Loader older $7.99 387 83% 12k $93k (exactly $92,764) Flazm
Ageless older $14.99 56 69% 1.7k $25k (exactly $25,183) One More Dream Studios
Bauhaus Bonk $7.99 73 100% 2.2k $17k (exactly $17,498) Spoonful Games
SPEEDSHOT $14.99 27 100% 810 $12k (exactly $12,142) karmacode
ACIIIIIIIIIIIIIIID older $9.99 38 76% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) deadworld games
SATORI older $7.99 43 76% 1.3k $10k (exactly $10,307) EMOTION THEORY
Score a goal 2 (Physical football) older $2.99 109 71% 3.3k $9.8k (exactly $9,777) BulatHard
A Pinball Game That Makes You Mad $9.99 27 81% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Azimuth Studios
Peppy's Adventure older $7.99 30 100% 900 $7.2k (exactly $7,191) Pepite Studios
Echobreaker $8.99 12 100% 360 $3.2k (exactly $3,236) Upstream Arcade
Mental Hellacious $13.99 4 50% 120 $1.7k (exactly $1,679) MoreNEWttoStudio
DuaLight $6.99 7 100% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) RedWineGames Studio
Void Jump VR $14.99 2 50% 60 $899 (exactly $899) LemmoLab
Apex Path: BOLT · EA $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Sanswolf
Run! And Don't Stop · EA $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Crimson Monolith Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.