Do I ship it?

GamesSurvival HorrorSurvival Horror + Underground

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Underground Survival Horror?

Survival Horror + Underground

Of 38 developers who shipped an Underground Survival Horror in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 81 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×3.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $6.8M, ×10840 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 81 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.4 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 81 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival Horror + Underground
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 38
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.6k → $898 → $2.6k → $7.8k → $5.3k → $807 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival Horror + Underground: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 38
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,158)
Top 25% $7.8k (exactly $7,780)
Top 5% $6.8M (exactly $6,807,553)
Developers, 2 yr 38
Released games 96
Announced 81
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Underground
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival Horror; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Exploration
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Dark, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 31,962 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $7.7k, 1 in 20 over $6.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 7 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 81 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival Horror with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVFair13 devs · median $31k · 14 announced
  2. + DrivingFair20 devs · median $4.9k · 25 announced
  3. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + SnowFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 15 announced
  6. + SportsFair5 devs · median $959 · 3 announced
  7. + Outbreak SimFair22 devs · median $958 · 24 announced
  8. + 3D PlatformerFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  9. + Boomer ShooterFair27 devs · median $449 · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds10 devs · median $64k · 42 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds17 devs · median $52k · 21 announced
  12. + Spectacle fighterPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced

All 159 pairs on the Survival Horror page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Five Nights at Freddy's: Secret of the Mimic $39.99 10,874 86% 326k $13M (exactly $13,045,538) Steel Wool Studios
White Knuckle · EA $16.99 13,356 98% 401k $6.8M (exactly $6,807,553) Dark Machine Games
Resident Evil 3 Nemesis (1999) $9.99 2,329 89% 70k $698k (exactly $698,001) CAPCOM Co., Ltd., GOG.com
Resident Evil 2 (1998) $9.99 2,084 90% 63k $625k (exactly $624,575) CAPCOM Co., Ltd., GOG.com
Spark in the Dark · EA $16.99 1,174 87% 35k $598k (exactly $598,388) Stellar Fish
Resident Evil (1996) $9.99 1,602 90% 48k $480k (exactly $480,119) CAPCOM Co., Ltd., GOG.com
KINGDOM of the DEAD older $14.99 329 78% 9.9k $148k (exactly $147,951) DIRIGO GAMES
Caput Mortum $11.99 355 94% 11k $128k (exactly $127,694) WildArts Games
Rodland of Pipes older $8.99 262 98% 7.9k $71k (exactly $70,661) Justin Jones
The Door in the Basement older $10.99 171 88% 5.1k $56k (exactly $56,379) Aegon Games
Kriophobia $14.99 60 90% 1.8k $27k (exactly $26,982) Fira Soft
Zardy's Cave $7.99 84 80% 2.5k $20k (exactly $20,135) Full Trek Media
TARO IS BACK $15.00 44 84% 1.3k $20k (exactly $19,800) BeforeHomeWorks

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.