Games › Turn-Based Combat › Turn-Based Combat + Supernatural
Should I ship a Supernatural Turn-Based Combat game?
Turn-Based Combat + Supernatural
Of 41 developers who shipped a Supernatural Turn-Based Combat game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 75 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×235 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 75 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $269 (exactly $269) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
| Top 25% | $7.9k (exactly $7,934) |
| Top 5% | $112k (exactly $111,544) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 41 |
| Released games | 82 |
| Announced | 75 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Turn-Based Combat
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Supernatural
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Turn-Based Combat; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Roguelite, Strategy
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 1,719 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 75 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Turn-Based Combat with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WuxiaStrong odds
- + Hack and SlashStrong odds
- + RomeFair
- + CookingFair
- + UndergroundFair
- + IdlerFair
- + DiceFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + SolitaireFair
Comparable games
Persona 3 Reload 2024 · $78M 
Marvel's Midnight Suns 2022 · $31M 
Hard West 2015 · $2.5M 
Hard West 2 2022 · $2.4M 
The Lamplighters League 2023 · $1.1M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Persona 3 Reload | older | $59.99 | 43,497 95% | 1.3M | $78M (exactly $78,281,551) | ATLUS |
| | Marvel's Midnight Suns | older | $59.99 | 17,060 82% | 512k | $31M (exactly $30,702,882) | Firaxis Games |
| | Hard West | older | $19.99 | 4,103 74% | 123k | $2.5M (exactly $2,460,569) | CreativeForge Games |
| | Hard West 2 | older | $29.99 | 2,717 80% | 82k | $2.4M (exactly $2,444,485) | Ice Code Games |
| | The Lamplighters League | older | $49.99 | 726 71% | 22k | $1.1M (exactly $1,088,782) | Harebrained Schemes |
 | Rogue Lords | older | $24.99 | 1,442 71% | 43k | $1.1M (exactly $1,081,067) | Leikir Studio, Cyanide Studio |
 | Deep Sleep: Labyrinth of the Forsaken | $19.99 | 595 94% | 18k | $357k (exactly $356,822) | scriptwelder | |
 | Shardpunk | older | $13.99 | 739 92% | 22k | $310k (exactly $310,158) | Clockwork Pile |
 | Erannorth Reborn | older | $17.99 | 386 84% | 12k | $208k (exactly $208,324) | Spyridon Thalassinos |
 | THYSIASTERY | $17.49 | 309 80% | 9.3k | $162k (exactly $162,132) | DIRGA | |
 | Erannorth Renaissance | $19.99 | 186 81% | 5.6k | $112k (exactly $111,544) | Spyridon Thalassinos | |
 | Malys | $14.99 | 172 79% | 5.2k | $77k (exactly $77,348) | Summerfall Studios | |
 | THE SPIRIT LIFT | $19.99 | 118 94% | 3.5k | $71k (exactly $70,765) | prettysmart games | |
 | Deck of Souls | $11.99 | 153 84% | 4.6k | $55k (exactly $55,034) | Bigboot Studios | |
 | Makai Agito | $9.99 | 72 94% | 2.2k | $22k (exactly $21,578) | Gumi Bytes, Dani Sugimoto-Lee | |
 | Kunugi's Life is a Mess! | $10.99 | 59 84% | 1.8k | $19k (exactly $19,452) | Like a Girl | |
 | Board Game Society | $14.99 | 29 62% | 870 | $13k (exactly $13,041) | Jetebra Games | |
 | Futa Succubus Slay! | $12.99 | 26 65% | 780 | $10k (exactly $10,132) | Npolish |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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