Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based CombatTurn-Based Combat + Superhero

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Superhero Turn-Based Combat game?

Turn-Based Combat + Superhero

Only 9 developers shipped a Superhero Turn-Based Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Nova Hearts, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $59 against a market of $1.5k. 10 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 10 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Combat + Superhero
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $4.2k → $60 → $59
Outcomes for Turn-Based Combat + Superhero: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $59 (exactly $59)
Top 25% $600 (exactly $600)
Top 5% $50k (exactly $50,375)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 31
Announced 10
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 70% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Combat
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Superhero
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Turn-Based Combat
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 21,317 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $59, 1 in 4 over $600, 1 in 20 over $50k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Combat with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaStrong odds20 devs · median $19k · 21 announced
  2. + Hack and SlashStrong odds28 devs · median $3.7k · 27 announced
  3. + RomeFair8 devs · median $16k · 13 announced
  4. + CookingFair15 devs · median $6.0k · 22 announced
  5. + UndergroundFair18 devs · median $4.2k · 29 announced
  6. + IdlerFair52 devs · median $4.0k · 41 announced
  7. + DiceFair49 devs · median $2.2k · 59 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair81 devs · median $1.4k · 107 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair59 devs · median $1.3k · 71 announced
  10. + Tower DefenseFair28 devs · median $839 · 34 announced
  11. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $719 · 52 announced
  12. + SolitaireFair26 devs · median $450 · 31 announced

All 175 pairs on the Turn-Based Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Marvel's Midnight Suns older $59.99 17,060 82% 512k $31M (exactly $30,702,882) Firaxis Games
Chroma Squad older $14.99 2,913 95% 87k $1.3M (exactly $1,309,976) Behold Studios
Capes older $39.99 446 67% 13k $535k (exactly $535,066) Spitfire Interactive
Invincible Presents: Atom Eve older $9.99 550 96% 17k $165k (exactly $164,835) Terrible Posture Games
Nova Hearts $19.99 84 67% 2.5k $50k (exactly $50,375) Lightbulb Crew
FAS: Fight Action Sandbox older $6.99 69 63% 2.1k $14k (exactly $14,469) Vona Soft
8-Colors Star Guardians + older $4.99 73 94% 2.2k $11k (exactly $10,928) Andrea Demetrio
Spandex Force: Champion Rising older $4.99 62 77% 1.9k $9.3k (exactly $9,281) KarjaSoft
The Amazing Fantastics: Issue 1 older $9.99 23 73% 690 $6.9k (exactly $6,893) Neon Arkade Games
Case 02: Paranormal Evil older $5.99 37 94% 1.1k $6.6k (exactly $6,649) Sounding Stone / 老奉毊, MaouCat Studio /… (Sounding Stone / 老奉毊, MaouCat Studio / 魔王貓工作室)
Patriotika RPG: Shadow World $14.99 5 100% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) DDreams Games
FULL BET - FIGHTING CASINO - $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) FlatMountain
武道传说 League of Fighters $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) LINWENJIAN
Specter: The Battle of the Mind $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) AlguemBonitinho
Super Chroma Bots : SEASON ONE $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) NecroCatic Games
Valkyrie Star: A Cacophony Choir $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Spirit Corgi
破环者 LoopBreaker $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 白哥制作
ALYUP $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) HashMO Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.