Do I ship it?

GamesSpectacle fighterSpectacle fighter + Tower Defense

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tower Defense Spectacle fighter?

Spectacle fighter + Tower Defense

Only 13 developers shipped a Tower Defense Spectacle fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Realm, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $720 against a market of $1.5k. 14 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 55% on the market, 14 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Spectacle fighter + Tower Defense
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Spectacle fighter + Tower Defense: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $718 (exactly $718)
Top 25% $958 (exactly $958)
Top 5% $9.9k (exactly $9,897)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 28
Announced 14
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Spectacle fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Tower Defense
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Spectacle fighter, Tower Defense
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 68% positive over 58 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $720, 1 in 4 over $950, 1 in 20 over $9.8k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Spectacle fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Score AttackFair31 devs · median $4.3k · 29 announced
  2. + HorrorFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 16 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $65k · 11 announced
  4. + Character Action GamePoor odds22 devs · median $58k · 44 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds16 devs · median $33k · 17 announced
  7. + Sci-fiPoor odds48 devs · median $17k · 82 announced
  8. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $16k · 35 announced
  9. + MythologyPoor odds16 devs · median $11k · 24 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds45 devs · median $7.2k · 86 announced
  11. + FightingPoor odds25 devs · median $7.2k · 40 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds77 devs · median $6.7k · 142 announced

All 99 pairs on the Spectacle fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
They Came From Below older $24.99 17 58% 510 $13k (exactly $12,745) Piece Of Voxel
Realm $29.99 11 72% 330 $9.9k (exactly $9,897) Mighty Pixel Crew
Defense high older $4.99 42 71% 1.3k $6.3k (exactly $6,287) TowerSergi
Robowars older $3.99 20 30% 600 $2.4k (exactly $2,394) N-Game Studios
XALADIA: Rise of the Space Pirates X2 older $17.99 4 25% 120 $2.2k (exactly $2,159) ACQUIRE Corp.
MUMMMASTER! older $4.99 13 92% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Conglomerate 5
Dezinsector older $2.99 17 82% 510 $1.5k (exactly $1,525) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Shardwatch Dominion $2.99 14 92% 420 $1.3k (exactly $1,256) grishkogameplay
Zombie camping older $1.99 21 76% 630 $1.3k (exactly $1,254) Rabotiagi games
Liberator TD $9.99 4 50% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Okay Studios
Last Stronghold $3.99 8 62% 240 $958 (exactly $958) skR1me
SHARP FISTS $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) WANG LUGUANG
BLEST $6.99 4 0% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Oedipe Games
Rushfall $2.99 8 62% 240 $718 (exactly $718) kazakovstudios, Sharkgame
Sears: The Sky Frontier $5.99 3 33% 90 $539 (exactly $539) Acoma Games
Snow Defense $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) Saritasa VR Production
Bubblecore: Survivors $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) King Suslik Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.