Do I ship it?

Games › Spectacle fighter › Spectacle fighter + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Spectacle fighter?

Spectacle fighter + Robots

Only 15 developers shipped a Robot Spectacle fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Metal Bringer, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $16k, ×11 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.0k; 1 in 20 cleared $660k, ×444 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 35 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 35 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Spectacle fighter + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $58k → $36k → $76k → $0 → $338k → $16k → $2.6k (still earning) → $17k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Spectacle fighter + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $1.9k (exactly $1,918)
Median $16k (exactly $16,192)
Top 25% $38k (exactly $37,775)
Top 5% $665k (exactly $665,067)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 67
Announced 35
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Spectacle fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Spectacle fighter
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 2,103 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.0k, median $16k, 1 in 4 over $37k, 1 in 20 over $660k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.0k. 5 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Spectacle fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Score AttackFair31 devs · median $4.3k · 29 announced
  2. + HorrorFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 16 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $65k · 11 announced
  4. + Character Action GamePoor odds22 devs · median $58k · 44 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds16 devs · median $33k · 17 announced
  7. + Sci-fiPoor odds48 devs · median $17k · 82 announced
  8. + MythologyPoor odds16 devs · median $11k · 24 announced
  9. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds45 devs · median $7.2k · 86 announced
  10. + FightingPoor odds25 devs · median $7.2k · 40 announced
  11. + Hack and SlashPoor odds77 devs · median $6.7k · 142 announced
  12. + NinjaPoor odds12 devs · median $6.6k · 18 announced

All 99 pairs on the Spectacle fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

ULTRAKILL 2020 · EA · $192M NieR:Automata™ 2017 · $138M Hi-Fi RUSH 2023 · $25M Battle Ram 2023 · $2.0M MEGA MAN X DiVE Offline 2023 · $1.6M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ULTRAKILL · EA older $29.99 213,450 97% 6.4M $192M (exactly $192,040,965) Arsi "Hakita" Patala
NieR:Automata™ older $39.99 115,103 88% 3.5M $138M (exactly $138,089,069) Square Enix, PlatinumGames Inc.
Hi-Fi RUSH older $29.99 27,454 97% 824k $25M (exactly $24,700,364) Tango Gameworks
Battle Ram older $29.99 2,204 85% 66k $2.0M (exactly $1,982,939) Runic Rise Games
MEGA MAN X DiVE Offline older $29.99 1,760 80% 53k $1.6M (exactly $1,583,472) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
MEGATON MUSASHI W: WIRED older $49.99 688 78% 21k $1.0M (exactly $1,031,794) LEVEL5 Inc.
Astebreed: Definitive Edition older $19.99 1,272 87% 38k $763k (exactly $762,818) Edelweiss
NanoApostle older $19.99 1,184 95% 36k $710k (exactly $710,045) 18Light Game Ltd.
Metal Bringer $19.99 1,109 87% 33k $665k (exactly $665,067) ALPHAWING Inc.
Project MIKHAIL: A Muv-Luv War Story older $19.99 706 54% 21k $423k (exactly $423,388) aNCHOR Inc., fuzz, Inc.
Iron Saga VS $29.99 376 79% 11k $338k (exactly $338,287) Gameduchy
Cyberpunk SFX $9.99 183 83% 5.5k $55k (exactly $54,845) Whale Rock Games
Electro Bop Boxing League $14.99 84 79% 2.5k $38k (exactly $37,775) Developer Dob
Kijutsu Rider $9.99 95 56% 2.9k $28k (exactly $28,472) OmegaMechAnimations
AI-deal-Rays [General Edition] $5.99 112 58% 3.4k $20k (exactly $20,126) Riez-ON
Jenny the Witch $7.99 69 88% 2.1k $17k (exactly $16,539) Catbird Soft
Rebel Engine $19.99 27 81% 810 $16k (exactly $16,192) Seven Leaf Clover
Steel Judgment · EA $9.99 37 100% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,089) Gid Is Dead
MechaCap Arena $7.99 11 90% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Paraflux Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.