Do I ship it?

Games › Spectacle fighter › Spectacle fighter + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Spectacle fighter?

Spectacle fighter + Mythology

Only 16 developers shipped a Mythological Spectacle fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, YAR: Forgotten Throne, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $11k, ×7.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $760k, ×514 the market median. Revenue is up 21695% on the market; 24 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 21695% on the market, 24 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Spectacle fighter + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $480 → $6.5k → $746k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Spectacle fighter + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $11k (exactly $11,089)
Top 25% $102k (exactly $101,974)
Top 5% $769k (exactly $769,415)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 56
Announced 24
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 21695% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Spectacle fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Spectacle fighter; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Action RPG
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Anime, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 3,957 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $11k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $760k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Spectacle fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Score AttackFair31 devs · median $4.3k · 29 announced
  2. + HorrorFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 16 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $65k · 11 announced
  4. + Character Action GamePoor odds22 devs · median $58k · 44 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds16 devs · median $33k · 17 announced
  7. + Sci-fiPoor odds48 devs · median $17k · 82 announced
  8. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $16k · 35 announced
  9. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds45 devs · median $7.2k · 86 announced
  10. + FightingPoor odds25 devs · median $7.2k · 40 announced
  11. + Hack and SlashPoor odds77 devs · median $6.7k · 142 announced
  12. + NinjaPoor odds12 devs · median $6.6k · 18 announced

All 99 pairs on the Spectacle fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

ASTLIBRA Revision 2022 · $23M Tribes of Midgard 2021 · $10M YAR: Forgotten Throne 2026 · $769k Stonemachia 2026 · $746k PAGUI打鬼 2019 · $713k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ASTLIBRA Revision older $24.99 30,262 95% 908k $23M (exactly $22,687,421) KEIZO
Tribes of Midgard older $19.99 17,465 76% 524k $10M (exactly $10,473,760) Norsfell
YAR: Forgotten Throne $19.99 1,283 89% 38k $769k (exactly $769,415) Honor Games
Stonemachia $19.99 1,244 95% 37k $746k (exactly $746,027) Crossfall Games
PAGUI打鬼 older $19.99 1,189 82% 36k $713k (exactly $713,043) padendon
Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator · EA $24.99 612 81% 18k $459k (exactly $458,816) Contec Games
El Shaddai ASCENSION OF THE METATRON HD Remaster older $29.99 457 83% 14k $411k (exactly $411,163) crim Co., Ltd.
Fight of Gods older $14.99 762 83% 23k $343k (exactly $342,671) Digital Crafter
Samurai Bringer older $9.99 1,012 87% 30k $303k (exactly $303,296) ALPHAWING Inc.
Utawarerumono: ZAN 2 $39.99 88 82% 2.6k $106k (exactly $105,574) AQUAPLUS
Utawarerumono: ZAN $39.99 85 77% 2.6k $102k (exactly $101,974) AQUAPLUS
Blood Rush · EA $14.49 161 98% 4.8k $70k (exactly $69,987) MaxEstLa
AQUAPAZZA: Aquaplus Dream Match $19.99 104 33% 3.1k $62k (exactly $62,369) AQUAPLUS
SoulQuest $19.99 97 81% 2.9k $58k (exactly $58,171) SoulBlade Studio LLC, TomasJPereyra
Elder Legacy: Survival · EA $9.99 189 62% 5.7k $57k (exactly $56,643) Honor Games
DaemonBride:ADDITIONAL GAIN $19.99 94 82% 2.8k $56k (exactly $56,372) Team Arcana, Kizawaya

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.