Do I ship it?

GamesSpectacle fighterSpectacle fighter + Tactical RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tactical RPG Spectacle fighter?

Spectacle fighter + Tactical RPG

Only 6 developers shipped a Tactical RPG Spectacle fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, FAIRY TAIL 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.5k against a market of $1.5k. 9 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 9 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Spectacle fighter + Tactical RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Spectacle fighter + Tactical RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,544)
Top 25% $26k (exactly $26,445)
Top 5% $292k (exactly $291,551)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 28
Announced 9
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Spectacle fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Spectacle fighter, Tactical RPG
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 1,661 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Spectacle fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Score AttackFair31 devs · median $4.3k · 29 announced
  2. + HorrorFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 16 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $65k · 11 announced
  4. + Character Action GamePoor odds22 devs · median $58k · 44 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds16 devs · median $33k · 17 announced
  7. + Sci-fiPoor odds48 devs · median $17k · 82 announced
  8. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $16k · 35 announced
  9. + MythologyPoor odds16 devs · median $11k · 24 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds45 devs · median $7.2k · 86 announced
  11. + FightingPoor odds25 devs · median $7.2k · 40 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds77 devs · median $6.7k · 142 announced

All 99 pairs on the Spectacle fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tales Of Glory older $10.99 1,042 80% 31k $344k (exactly $343,547) BlackTale Games
FAIRY TAIL 2 $59.99 162 61% 4.9k $292k (exactly $291,551) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Furry Killer older $29.99 241 78% 7.2k $217k (exactly $216,828) Sujikon
Rise of a Legend · EA $17.99 49 77% 1.5k $26k (exactly $26,445) Masquarade, Nicholas St. Germain
Just Skill Shooter older $9.99 36 47% 1.1k $11k (exactly $10,789) Gamesforgames
Just skill shooter 2 older $9.99 32 53% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) Gamesforgames
Fight till the End! older $19.99 15 66% 450 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Gamesforgames
God Souls older $4.99 32 75% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) 苏州天魂网络科技股份有限公司
Empire of Empires older $4.99 29 75% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) ·
Magic and Elements older $4.99 23 73% 690 $3.4k (exactly $3,443) HIlous
MEMOLOGY: War of Memes $0.99 52 76% 1.6k $1.5k (exactly $1,544) Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm, hannibaln… (Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm, hannibalnotdead)
ChessBoxing Championship $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) MysticOakGames
Forgotten spirit $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) BurningGRP
Enlil: Rise Of the End · EA $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) HAPPYTECH

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.