Do I ship it?

Games › Spectacle fighter › Spectacle fighter + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural Spectacle fighter?

Spectacle fighter + Supernatural

Only 12 developers shipped a Supernatural Spectacle fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×6.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.7k against a market of $1.5k. 20 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 75% on the market, 20 announced, ×6.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Spectacle fighter + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.1k → $958 → $3.3k
Outcomes for Spectacle fighter + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,679)
Top 25% $833k (exactly $833,166)
Top 5% $5.2M (exactly $5,181,336)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 30
Announced 20
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 75% on the market, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Spectacle fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Spectacle fighter
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 6,855 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $830k, 1 in 20 over $5.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 7 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Spectacle fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Score AttackFair31 devs · median $4.3k · 29 announced
  2. + HorrorFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 16 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $65k · 11 announced
  4. + Character Action GamePoor odds22 devs · median $58k · 44 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds16 devs · median $33k · 17 announced
  7. + Sci-fiPoor odds48 devs · median $17k · 82 announced
  8. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $16k · 35 announced
  9. + MythologyPoor odds16 devs · median $11k · 24 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds45 devs · median $7.2k · 86 announced
  11. + FightingPoor odds25 devs · median $7.2k · 40 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds77 devs · median $6.7k · 142 announced

All 99 pairs on the Spectacle fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

ASTLIBRA Revision 2022 · $23M Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2 2025 · $5.2M Slitterhead 2024 · $1.7M 近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau 2024 · $833k PAGUI打鬼 2019 · $713k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ASTLIBRA Revision older $24.99 30,262 95% 908k $23M (exactly $22,687,421) KEIZO
Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2 $59.99 2,879 83% 86k $5.2M (exactly $5,181,336) CyberConnect2
Slitterhead $49.99 1,145 78% 34k $1.7M (exactly $1,717,156) Bokeh Game Studio lnc.
近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau $9.99 2,780 92% 83k $833k (exactly $833,166) Noto Muteki
PAGUI打鬼 older $19.99 1,189 82% 36k $713k (exactly $713,043) padendon
El Shaddai ASCENSION OF THE METATRON HD Remaster older $29.99 457 83% 14k $411k (exactly $411,163) crim Co., Ltd.
Devil's Hunt older $14.99 583 43% 17k $262k (exactly $262,175) Layopi Games
Кукуево / Kukuevo older $2.00 164 79% 4.9k $9.8k (exactly $9,840) ProjectKukuevo
KING PONG · EA older $19.99 7 71% 210 $4.2k (exactly $4,198) Iconik
Carnal Rage $9.99 11 45% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) TailsUp4Tyranno
Taram Baba $4.00 15 93% 450 $1.8k (exactly $1,800) Sofa Interactive
Ortho Blaze $13.99 4 25% 120 $1.7k (exactly $1,679) Paracelsus Team
Valenium $10.99 5 20% 150 $1.6k (exactly $1,648) Need3RD
Last Stronghold $3.99 8 62% 240 $958 (exactly $958) skR1me
Hot Pig Jump! $3.99 4 100% 120 $479 (exactly $479) DekkaRuby Games
BE 忍者 · EA $1.99 4 75% 120 $239 (exactly $239) Fortgs

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.