Do I ship it?

GamesSpectacle fighterSpectacle fighter + Superhero

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Superhero Spectacle fighter?

Spectacle fighter + Superhero

Only 8 developers shipped a Superhero Spectacle fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Lost Soul Aside™, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×2.1 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $2.3M, ×1570 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 17 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 17 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Spectacle fighter + Superhero
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Spectacle fighter + Superhero: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $898 (exactly $898)
Median $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 25% $43k (exactly $42,733)
Top 5% $2.4M (exactly $2,352,208)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 25
Announced 17
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Spectacle fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Superhero
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Spectacle fighter
Price point
$12.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 68% positive over 2,282 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $3.1k, 1 in 4 over $42k, 1 in 20 over $2.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 17 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Spectacle fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Score AttackFair31 devs · median $4.3k · 29 announced
  2. + HorrorFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 16 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $65k · 11 announced
  4. + Character Action GamePoor odds22 devs · median $58k · 44 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds16 devs · median $33k · 17 announced
  7. + Sci-fiPoor odds48 devs · median $17k · 82 announced
  8. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $16k · 35 announced
  9. + MythologyPoor odds16 devs · median $11k · 24 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds45 devs · median $7.2k · 86 announced
  11. + FightingPoor odds25 devs · median $7.2k · 40 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds77 devs · median $6.7k · 142 announced

All 99 pairs on the Spectacle fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lost Soul Aside™ $59.99 1,307 59% 39k $2.4M (exactly $2,352,208) Ultizero Games
The Wonderful 101: Remastered older $39.99 564 84% 17k $677k (exactly $676,631) PlatinumGames Inc.
Dusk Diver 2 older $49.99 75 88% 2.3k $112k (exactly $112,478) Wanin International
Taiwan Coolfox $24.99 57 78% 1.7k $43k (exactly $42,733) TSAI,JIE-TING 蔡杰廷, TSAI,KAI-SHIUN 蔡凱勛
Kijutsu Rider $9.99 95 56% 2.9k $28k (exactly $28,472) OmegaMechAnimations
The Siege of Brimir · EA older $11.99 49 71% 1.5k $18k (exactly $17,625) Anden Studios
FAS: Fight Action Sandbox older $6.99 69 63% 2.1k $14k (exactly $14,469) Vona Soft
Carlos the Taco older $2.99 47 93% 1.4k $4.2k (exactly $4,216) VICTORIA Games
Spectacular Team: Assemble $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) Sengi Games
Last Eclipse $12.99 6 50% 180 $2.3k (exactly $2,338) Animas Games
SuperEats $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) PoisonGames
Slap Fighter $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Curious Games
Enlil: Rise Of the End · EA $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) HAPPYTECH

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.