Do I ship it?

GamesShop KeeperShop Keeper + Time Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Shop Keeper Time Management game?

Shop Keeper + Time Management

Of 160 developers who shipped a Shop Keeper Time Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 285 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×3.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $260k, ×564 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 285 games are announced against 139 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 285 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shop Keeper + Time Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 160
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $779 → $9.3k → $5.5k → $1.8k (still earning) → $838 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shop Keeper + Time Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 160
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,648)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $16,639)
Top 5% $268k (exactly $267,976)
Developers, 2 yr 160
Released games 195
Announced 285
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 480% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shop Keeper
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Shop Keeper, Time Management; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Life Sim
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 21,709 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 7 in 10 of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 285 games are announced against 139 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shop Keeper with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds101 devs · median $13k · 122 announced
  2. + HorrorFair32 devs · median $5.1k · 55 announced
  3. + Psychological HorrorFair26 devs · median $5.1k · 44 announced
  4. + ModernFair27 devs · median $3.2k · 28 announced
  5. + StrategyFair159 devs · median $1.8k · 264 announced
  6. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.5k · 27 announced
  7. + IncrementalFair56 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  8. + Strategy RPGFair21 devs · median $987 · 25 announced
  9. + NaturePoor odds32 devs · median $31k · 59 announced
  10. + BuildingPoor odds140 devs · median $16k · 209 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds44 devs · median $16k · 96 announced
  12. + Co-opPoor odds40 devs · median $13k · 96 announced

All 48 pairs on the Shop Keeper page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tiny Bookshop $19.99 6,967 96% 209k $4.2M (exactly $4,178,110) neoludic games
School Days $14.99 6,023 77% 181k $2.7M (exactly $2,708,543) 白雨工作室
Discounty $19.99 2,322 82% 70k $1.4M (exactly $1,392,503) Crinkle Cut Games
Cat Cafe Manager older $19.99 2,174 87% 65k $1.3M (exactly $1,303,748) Roost Games
Trash Goblin $19.99 1,574 87% 47k $944k (exactly $943,928) Spilt Milk Studios Ltd
The Chef's Shift $12.99 1,948 97% 58k $759k (exactly $759,136) Panitia GameDev
Winkeltje: The Little Shop older $14.99 1,612 88% 48k $725k (exactly $724,916) Sassybot
Above the Snow $24.99 383 75% 11k $287k (exactly $287,135) Above the Desk
SkyBrew: Entropic Strategist $17.99 522 75% 16k $282k (exactly $281,723) ATRIC Games
Internet Cafe Evolution older $14.99 606 74% 18k $273k (exactly $272,518) Tiny Flame Games
Medieval Crafter: Blacksmith $11.99 745 76% 22k $268k (exactly $267,976) Compact Core Games
E-Shop Tycoon $13.99 604 72% 18k $253k (exactly $253,499) Aeolian Games
Rest Area Simulator $9.99 621 85% 19k $186k (exactly $186,114) Oriseus Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.