Do I ship it?

GamesJob SimulatorJob Simulator + Shop Keeper

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Shop Keeper Job Simulator?

Job Simulator + Shop Keeper

Of 101 developers who shipped a Shop Keeper Job Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 122 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $13k, ×28 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $3.5k. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 122 games are announced against 82 developers who shipped in the last year, ×1.5 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 27.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 122 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Job Simulator + Shop Keeper
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 101
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $80k → $20k → $12k → $18k (still earning) → $5.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Job Simulator + Shop Keeper: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 101
Bottom 30% $3.5k (exactly $3,510)
Median $13k (exactly $13,174)
Top 25% $63k (exactly $62,508)
Top 5% $759k (exactly $759,136)
Developers, 2 yr 101
Released games 126
Announced 122
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 290% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 2%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Job Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Shop Keeper
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Job Simulator, Shop Keeper; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Life Sim
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Cozy, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 70,245 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.6k, median $13k, 1 in 4 over $62k, 1 in 20 over $750k.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.6k. 6 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 122 games are announced against 82 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Job Simulator with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationStrong odds36 devs · median $57k · 31 announced
  2. + NatureStrong odds21 devs · median $38k · 19 announced
  3. + CollectathonStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  4. + BuildingStrong odds66 devs · median $28k · 70 announced
  5. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds18 devs · median $23k · 6 announced
  6. + Inventory ManagementStrong odds69 devs · median $15k · 62 announced
  7. + CraftingStrong odds62 devs · median $15k · 65 announced
  8. + Hidden ObjectStrong odds17 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  9. + CapitalismFair72 devs · median $23k · 75 announced
  10. + EconomyFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  11. + Immersive SimFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  12. + Life SimFair144 devs · median $19k · 153 announced

All 42 pairs on the Job Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
TCG Card Shop Simulator $19.99 47,357 96% 1.4M $28M (exactly $28,399,993) OPNeon Games
ReStory: Chill Electronics Repairs $19.99 9,209 95% 276k $5.5M (exactly $5,522,637) Mandragora
Storage Hunter Simulator $24.99 3,866 78% 116k $2.9M (exactly $2,898,340) Raccoons Studio
Tavern Manager Simulator 🍻 older $14.99 4,018 91% 121k $1.8M (exactly $1,806,895) One More Time
Dealer's Life 2 older $14.99 3,994 85% 120k $1.8M (exactly $1,796,102) Abyte Entertainment
Cat Cafe Manager older $19.99 2,174 87% 65k $1.3M (exactly $1,303,748) Roost Games
Bladesong · EA $19.99 1,483 95% 44k $889k (exactly $889,355) SUN AND SERPENT creations
No Umbrellas Allowed older $19.99 1,394 80% 42k $836k (exactly $835,982) Hoochoo Game Studios
Megastore Simulator · EA $13.99 1,968 93% 59k $826k (exactly $825,970) Yolo Games Studio
The Chef's Shift $12.99 1,948 97% 58k $759k (exactly $759,136) Panitia GameDev
The Last Gas Station $13.99 1,250 87% 38k $525k (exactly $524,625) Alawar
Chop Chop Inc. $12.99 1,258 90% 38k $490k (exactly $490,243) NullRef Entertainment
Scriptorium: Master of Manuscripts $14.99 1,041 97% 31k $468k (exactly $468,138) Yaza Games
Witchy Business $14.99 865 86% 26k $389k (exactly $388,990) Rogue Duck Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.