Do I ship it?

GamesTime ManipulationTime Manipulation + Shoot 'Em Up

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Manipulation Shoot 'Em Up?

Time Manipulation + Shoot 'Em Up

Only 11 developers shipped a Time Manipulation Shoot 'Em Up in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Vendetta Forever, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×10.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $880 against a market of $480. 20 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 20 announced, ×10.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Time Manipulation + Shoot 'Em Up
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Time Manipulation + Shoot 'Em Up: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $882 (exactly $882)
Top 25% $4.6k (exactly $4,585)
Top 5% $20k (exactly $20,390)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 41
Announced 20
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 80% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Time Manipulation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Shoot 'Em Up
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Time Manipulation, Shoot 'Em Up
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 90% positive over 116 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $880, 1 in 4 over $4.5k, 1 in 20 over $20k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×10.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Time Manipulation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair14 devs · median $2.7k · 9 announced
  2. + CapitalismFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + ModernFair12 devs · median $987 · 9 announced
  4. + PsychologicalFair18 devs · median $897 · 17 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $657 · 15 announced
  6. + RacingFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  7. + Precision PlatformerFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  8. + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 24 announced
  9. + RobotsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 16 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds7 devs · median $6.7k · 22 announced
  11. + DetectivePoor odds16 devs · median $6.5k · 32 announced
  12. + NoirPoor odds9 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced

All 103 pairs on the Time Manipulation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Super Time Force Ultra older $14.99 677 90% 20k $304k (exactly $304,447) Capybara Games
Sine Mora EX older $9.99 463 66% 14k $139k (exactly $138,761) Digital Reality, Grasshopper Manufactur… (Digital Reality, Grasshopper Manufacture, Gyroscope Games)
Soundodger 2 older $19.99 185 95% 5.6k $111k (exactly $110,944) Studio Bean
Blast-off older $2.99 379 86% 11k $34k (exactly $33,996) Quad-Games
Vendetta Forever $19.99 34 76% 1.0k $20k (exactly $20,390) Meatspace Interactive
Time Rift older $9.99 66 95% 2.0k $20k (exactly $19,780) Lightshards, Abiding Bridge
WAVECADE older $9.99 27 92% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Andrew Spalato, Lewis Spalato
Duck Paradox $9.99 19 100% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) Magic Games
Razerwire:Nanowars older $1.99 83 87% 2.5k $5.0k (exactly $4,955) Hammer & Ravens
Hologram older $19.99 8 25% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,798) Enlighteneer
AIRANBLADE $8.99 17 94% 510 $4.6k (exactly $4,585) ANIMABOX
A Duel Hand Disaster: Trackher $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Ask An Enemy Studios
Captain Puff MacFly $2.99 23 95% 690 $2.1k (exactly $2,063) MVCAO Studios
Cosmic Waves $9.80 3 66% 90 $882 (exactly $882) Squirrel Knight
Miryam: The Polluted Land $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) 6.5F Studio
Glusiverse · EA $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Trusiga
Mayday $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) GTD
Splitfire · EA $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) @thr3mix

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.