Do I ship it?

GamesTime ManipulationTime Manipulation + Science

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Science Time Manipulation game?

Time Manipulation + Science

Only 11 developers shipped a Science Time Manipulation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Typhon: Bot vs Bot, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 19 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper, while revenue is down 100% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 19 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Time Manipulation + Science
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Time Manipulation + Science: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $4.0k (exactly $4,042)
Top 5% $7.2k (exactly $7,196)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 36
Announced 19
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Time Manipulation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Science
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Time Manipulation
Price point
$12.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 90% positive over 62 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $4.0k, 1 in 20 over $7.1k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Time Manipulation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair14 devs · median $2.7k · 9 announced
  2. + CapitalismFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + ModernFair12 devs · median $987 · 9 announced
  4. + PsychologicalFair18 devs · median $897 · 17 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $657 · 15 announced
  6. + RacingFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  7. + Precision PlatformerFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  8. + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 24 announced
  9. + RobotsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 16 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds7 devs · median $6.7k · 22 announced
  11. + DetectivePoor odds16 devs · median $6.5k · 32 announced
  12. + NoirPoor odds9 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced

All 103 pairs on the Time Manipulation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gravity Field older $29.99 778 79% 23k $700k (exactly $699,967) Kazakov Studios
Quantum Conundrum older $8.99 1,758 84% 53k $474k (exactly $474,133) Airtight Games
Time Lock VR 1 older $12.99 665 78% 20k $259k (exactly $259,150) WR-VRG
Time Machine VR older $29.99 115 64% 3.5k $103k (exactly $103,466) Minority Media Inc.
The God Unit older $9.99 78 96% 2.3k $23k (exactly $23,377) Cat Floor Studio
THE BYTE older $24.99 15 80% 450 $11k (exactly $11,246) AVAKE
Typhon: Bot vs Bot · EA $19.99 12 75% 360 $7.2k (exactly $7,196) Brightshade Games
T. B. P. older $24.99 8 87% 240 $6.0k (exactly $5,998) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Forgotten 23 $12.99 14 92% 420 $5.5k (exactly $5,456) KovalGames
GOST of Time $4.99 27 100% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) IzHard
Macht: Cosmic Engine · EA $24.99 5 80% 150 $3.7k (exactly $3,748) Kestro Games
Chrono Weaver $24.99 1 100% 30 $750 (exactly $750) Ivory Crow Games LLC
Shattered Time $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Studio Sakura
MERIDIAN $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Alexander Kosenko
Soft(A)ware $18.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) B0TLANNER Games
Signs and Seasons Explorer $10.00 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Great Wall Studio
Skyos · EA $19.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) SkyOS Labs

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.