Do I ship it?

Games › Spectacle fighter › Spectacle fighter + PvE

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvE Spectacle fighter?

Spectacle fighter + PvE

Of 55 developers who shipped a PvE Spectacle fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 111 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360. 111 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper, while revenue is up 235% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 235% on the market, 111 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Spectacle fighter + PvE
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 55
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.5k → $600 → $599 → $809 → $839 → $1.8k → $6.2k (still earning) → $537 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Spectacle fighter + PvE: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 55
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $959 (exactly $959)
Top 25% $8.4k (exactly $8,446)
Top 5% $5.2M (exactly $5,181,336)
Developers, 2 yr 55
Released games 181
Announced 111
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 235% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Spectacle fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
PvE
effort 6 / 10 · low · online co-op against AI still needs the whole netcode stack

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Spectacle fighter, PvE; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, Action-Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Anime, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 68,025 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $960, 1 in 4 over $8.4k, 1 in 20 over $5.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 32 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 111 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Spectacle fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Score AttackFair31 devs · median $4.3k · 29 announced
  2. + HorrorFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 16 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $65k · 11 announced
  4. + Character Action GamePoor odds22 devs · median $58k · 44 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds8 devs · median $52k · 12 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds16 devs · median $33k · 17 announced
  7. + Sci-fiPoor odds48 devs · median $17k · 82 announced
  8. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $16k · 35 announced
  9. + MythologyPoor odds16 devs · median $11k · 24 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds45 devs · median $7.2k · 86 announced
  11. + FightingPoor odds25 devs · median $7.2k · 40 announced
  12. + Hack and SlashPoor odds77 devs · median $6.7k · 142 announced

All 99 pairs on the Spectacle fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO 2024 · $76M Granblue Fantasy: Relink 2024 · $49M Tribes of Midgard 2021 · $10M Dead as Disco 2026 · EA · $9.3M Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2 2025 · $5.2M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO $49.99 50,395 86% 1.5M $76M (exactly $75,577,382) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
Granblue Fantasy: Relink older $39.99 41,227 89% 1.2M $49M (exactly $49,460,032) Cygames, Inc.
Tribes of Midgard older $19.99 17,465 76% 524k $10M (exactly $10,473,760) Norsfell
Dead as Disco · EA $24.99 12,354 96% 371k $9.3M (exactly $9,261,794) Brain Jar Games, Inc.
Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2 $59.99 2,879 83% 86k $5.2M (exactly $5,181,336) CyberConnect2
MEGA MAN X DiVE Offline older $29.99 1,760 80% 53k $1.6M (exactly $1,583,472) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
MEGATON MUSASHI W: WIRED older $49.99 688 78% 21k $1.0M (exactly $1,031,794) LEVEL5 Inc.
Rustil: Eternal Labyrinth Castle $18.99 950 71% 29k $541k (exactly $541,215) KTMG LLC.
Ratten Reich $19.99 616 40% 18k $369k (exactly $369,415) METALLADLERSTUDIO
The Divine Invasion older $14.99 690 79% 21k $310k (exactly $310,293) Whale Rock Games
BEYBLADE X XONE $49.99 162 79% 4.9k $243k (exactly $242,951) 株式会社グルーブボックスジャパン
BEYBLADE X EVOBATTLE $49.99 112 81% 3.4k $168k (exactly $167,966) 株式会社グルーブボックスジャパン
Double Dragon Revive $34.99 157 63% 4.7k $165k (exactly $164,803) YUKE’S
Hordes of Hunger $14.99 230 72% 6.9k $103k (exactly $103,431) Hyperstrange
Decline's Drops $14.99 170 96% 5.1k $76k (exactly $76,449) Le Moulin aux Bulles

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.