Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based CombatTurn-Based Combat + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Platformer Turn-Based Combat game?

Turn-Based Combat + Puzzle Platformer

Only 10 developers shipped a Puzzle Platformer Turn-Based Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mimir’s Roulette, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $4.1k, ×8.8 the market median. Revenue is up 280% on the market; 19 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 280% on the market, 19 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Combat + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Turn-Based Combat + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $809 (exactly $809)
Top 5% $4.2k (exactly $4,192)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 30
Announced 19
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 280% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Combat
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Combat, Puzzle Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 90% positive over 50 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $450, 1 in 4 over $800, 1 in 20 over $4.1k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaStrong odds20 devs · median $19k · 21 announced
  2. + Hack and SlashStrong odds28 devs · median $3.7k · 27 announced
  3. + RomeFair8 devs · median $16k · 13 announced
  4. + CookingFair15 devs · median $6.0k · 22 announced
  5. + UndergroundFair18 devs · median $4.2k · 29 announced
  6. + IdlerFair52 devs · median $4.0k · 41 announced
  7. + DiceFair49 devs · median $2.2k · 59 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair81 devs · median $1.4k · 107 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair59 devs · median $1.3k · 71 announced
  10. + Tower DefenseFair28 devs · median $839 · 34 announced
  11. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $719 · 52 announced
  12. + SolitaireFair26 devs · median $450 · 31 announced

All 175 pairs on the Turn-Based Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rainbow Billy: The Curse of the Leviathan older $19.99 147 91% 4.4k $88k (exactly $88,156) ManaVoid Entertainment
Bearnard older $16.99 152 97% 4.6k $77k (exactly $77,474) Michał Wikliński
时空传说:佣兵王战记 older $7.99 129 84% 3.9k $31k (exactly $30,921) 阳巅疯工作室
Last Standing older $2.99 73 56% 2.2k $6.5k (exactly $6,548) DIIV SOFT Co., LTD.
Mimir’s Roulette $4.99 28 96% 840 $4.2k (exactly $4,192) Momentum Games
Dwarfer older $4.99 24 95% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) SUJIKO Media Group
The Pair Annihilation older $3.99 26 96% 780 $3.1k (exactly $3,112) DAID Games
Baduk Challenge (Go Challenge) $10.99 4 50% 120 $1.3k (exactly $1,319) OH YU HWAN
Devils Gold older $2.99 13 69% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) Succubella Games
Last Shinobi $8.99 3 100% 90 $809 (exactly $809) Dark Tomato Studio
GunBlocks · EA $6.99 3 100% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Steve Welz
The Broken Clock $4.99 3 33% 90 $449 (exactly $449) David Bassols Colls
Žolík $3.51 4 100% 120 $421 (exactly $421) Valtrion Digital s.r.o.
stopDrop. $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Static City Games, Indie_Myke
Shaolin Strategy $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Wang Jile
River of Time Yarn $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Little Studio
Total Synthesis $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Sinter Labs LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.