Do I ship it?

GamesTime ManipulationTime Manipulation + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Manipulation Puzzle Platformer?

Time Manipulation + Puzzle Platformer

Of 39 developers who shipped a Time Manipulation Puzzle Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 73 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×1.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $59; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×230 the market median. Revenue is up 60% on the market; 73 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 60% on the market, 73 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Time Manipulation + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 39
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $478 → $1.7k → $718 → $449 → $59 → $15k → $598 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Time Manipulation + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 39
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $3.4k (exactly $3,414)
Top 5% $109k (exactly $109,456)
Developers, 2 yr 39
Released games 158
Announced 73
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Time Manipulation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Time Manipulation, Puzzle Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Adventure, Action
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 97% positive over 1,066 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $540, 1 in 4 over $3.4k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 73 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Time Manipulation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair14 devs · median $2.7k · 9 announced
  2. + CapitalismFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + ModernFair12 devs · median $987 · 9 announced
  4. + PsychologicalFair18 devs · median $897 · 17 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $657 · 15 announced
  6. + RacingFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  7. + Precision PlatformerFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  8. + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds9 devs · median $13k · 24 announced
  9. + RobotsPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 16 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds7 devs · median $6.7k · 22 announced
  11. + DetectivePoor odds16 devs · median $6.5k · 32 announced
  12. + NoirPoor odds9 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced

All 103 pairs on the Time Manipulation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Braid older $14.99 6,941 93% 208k $3.1M (exactly $3,121,368) Number None
The Entropy Centre older $19.99 3,359 89% 101k $2.0M (exactly $2,014,392) Stubby Games
Arise: A Simple Story older $19.99 2,723 91% 82k $1.6M (exactly $1,632,983) Piccolo Studio
Prince of Persia®: The Sands of Time older $9.99 5,045 85% 151k $1.5M (exactly $1,511,986) Kudosoft
The Gardens Between older $19.99 2,362 93% 71k $1.4M (exactly $1,416,491) The Voxel Agents
Braid, Anniversary Edition older $19.99 1,761 92% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,056,072) Thekla, Inc.
Timelie older $17.99 1,783 95% 53k $962k (exactly $962,285) Urnique Studio
Quantum Conundrum older $8.99 1,758 84% 53k $474k (exactly $474,133) Airtight Games
Super Time Force Ultra older $14.99 677 90% 20k $304k (exactly $304,447) Capybara Games
What Lies in the Multiverse older $14.99 519 91% 16k $233k (exactly $233,394) Studio Voyager, IguanaBee
MotionRec $9.99 430 99% 13k $129k (exactly $128,871) HANDSUM
NODE $24.99 146 91% 4.4k $109k (exactly $109,456) Lapsus Games
Super Puzzled Cat $16.99 183 98% 5.5k $93k (exactly $93,275) Penguin Mug Games
Orbyss $14.99 68 95% 2.0k $31k (exactly $30,580) Misty Whale
Causal Loop $19.99 49 91% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) Mirebound Interactive
Bauhaus Bonk $7.99 73 100% 2.2k $17k (exactly $17,498) Spoonful Games
Mai: Child of Ages $14.99 34 88% 1.0k $15k (exactly $15,290) Chubby Pixel
Get Up In The Night $6.99 52 98% 1.6k $11k (exactly $10,904) GUITN Studio
Nazar $9.99 12 75% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Eray Dinc Studio, Recontact Games
Raster $5.99 19 100% 570 $3.4k (exactly $3,414) Rchair Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.