Do I ship it?

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Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological-Horror Trivia game?

Trivia + Psychological Horror

Only 12 developers shipped a Psychological-Horror Trivia game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 探岛海龟汤, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.3k, ×9.1 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $630. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 8 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.1 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 8 announced, ×0.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Trivia + Psychological Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $180 → $10k → $1.3k (still earning) → $629 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Trivia + Psychological Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $629 (exactly $629)
Median $4.3k (exactly $4,315)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,030)
Top 5% $33k (exactly $32,967)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 28
Announced 8
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 400% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Trivia
effort 1 / 10 · high · question bank and scoring
Psychological Horror
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Trivia
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 373 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $4.3k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $32k.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 8 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Trivia with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Local Co-OpFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  2. + HorrorFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 10 announced
  3. + Multiple EndingsFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  4. + DetectiveFair19 devs · median $1.2k · 6 announced
  5. + MysteryFair20 devs · median $748 · 11 announced
  6. + Choices MatterFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  7. + InvestigationLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceLong shot14 devs · median $120 · 7 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds14 devs · median $9.0k · 22 announced
  10. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds9 devs · median $7.2k · 9 announced
  11. + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds14 devs · median $1.7k · 12 announced
  12. + SimulationPoor odds36 devs · median $1.3k · 21 announced

All 45 pairs on the Trivia page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Jackbox Party Pack 8 2021 · $1.0M The Jackbox Naughty Pack 2024 · $231k 探岛海龟汤 2025 · $33k Ichima-san 2024 · $20k Midnight Monitor: Aldercourt 2024 · $18k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Jackbox Party Pack 8 older $29.99 1,134 90% 34k $1.0M (exactly $1,020,260) Jackbox Games, Inc.
The Jackbox Naughty Pack older $19.99 385 33% 12k $231k (exactly $230,884) Jackbox Games, Inc.
探岛海龟汤 $9.99 110 71% 3.3k $33k (exactly $32,967) 探岛工作室
Ichima-san older $10.99 61 100% 1.8k $20k (exactly $20,112) sewohayami
Midnight Monitor: Aldercourt older $4.99 117 91% 3.5k $18k (exactly $17,515) Viexi Games
The Time Machine $9.99 35 97% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) Lionel Marsden
EYES ON THE EXAM $4.99 67 91% 2.0k $10k (exactly $10,030) Carlos 'Monty' Montamarta
Concierge $12.99 22 100% 660 $8.6k (exactly $8,573) KODINO
Idiom Royale $1.99 91 63% 2.7k $5.4k (exactly $5,433) NyxWorks
CipherMind $7.99 18 77% 540 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) Pigeon Games
MOTTAINAI GHOST $8.15 12 75% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,934) woof Inc., sewohayami
Fate Dealer $2.99 14 85% 420 $1.3k (exactly $1,256) Anguish Dealer
PENCILS DOWN™ $6.99 3 100% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Hayden-Fisher Technologies, Inc.
Question Roulette $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) Mysterious Alien

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.