Do I ship it?

GamesTriviaTrivia + Artificial Intelligence

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an AI Trivia game?

Trivia + Artificial Intelligence

Only 14 developers shipped an AI Trivia game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, BidKing, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $120, ×0.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $1.9M, ×4199 the market median. Revenue is up 4900% on the market; 7 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 4900% on the market, 7 announced, ×0.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Trivia + Artificial Intelligence
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.7k → $60 → $1.7k (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Trivia + Artificial Intelligence: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $120 (exactly $120)
Top 25% $2.8k (exactly $2,844)
Top 5% $2.0M (exactly $1,994,749)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 26
Announced 7
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 4900% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Trivia
effort 1 / 10 · high · question bank and scoring
Artificial Intelligence
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Trivia; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Typing, Adventure
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Funny, Stylized
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 9 games average 34% positive over 22,553 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $2.8k, 1 in 20 over $1.9M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 7 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Trivia with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Local Co-OpFair12 devs · median $7.5k · 13 announced
  2. + Psychological HorrorFair12 devs · median $4.3k · 8 announced
  3. + HorrorFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 10 announced
  4. + Multiple EndingsFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  5. + DetectiveFair19 devs · median $1.2k · 6 announced
  6. + MysteryFair20 devs · median $748 · 11 announced
  7. + Choices MatterFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  8. + InvestigationLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds14 devs · median $9.0k · 22 announced
  10. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds9 devs · median $7.2k · 9 announced
  11. + Choose Your Own AdventurePoor odds14 devs · median $1.7k · 12 announced
  12. + SimulationPoor odds36 devs · median $1.3k · 21 announced

All 45 pairs on the Trivia page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BidKing $2.99 22,238 33% 667k $2.0M (exactly $1,994,749) MindSurge Network & Games
Moviehouse – The Film Studio Tycoon older $10.99 225 32% 6.8k $74k (exactly $74,182) Odyssey Studios
The Birth of an Artificial Intelligence older $34.99 54 77% 1.6k $57k (exactly $56,684) 基本操作PlayClass
Party Quiz $11.99 147 80% 4.4k $53k (exactly $52,876) White Ink
探岛海龟汤 $9.99 110 71% 3.3k $33k (exactly $32,967) 探岛工作室
Couch Detective · EA $4.99 19 57% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) Gamtropy
ZiDouQianWen older $15.99 5 40% 150 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) WANG XUEYUAN
Empty Skull · EA older $6.99 8 87% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Ironbellys Crew
Don't Click The Flower $1.99 28 82% 840 $1.7k (exactly $1,672) Studio Leclercq
易经·占卜 $6.00 8 75% 240 $1.4k (exactly $1,440) 三页先生
单词农场 $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) LC Game
Verify: Please prove that you are human $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) 若小言
Escape From Lab $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) P.E.G
CUPRUM2929 · EA $6.10 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Vaslabs, Vaslabs LTD

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.